Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
1
Value bet: Lota Schwager to win @ 3.10 – our chance 43% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +33%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultLota Schwager to win ✗43% · @3.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.12
Lota Schwager vs Santiago Morning: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Santiago Morning travel to face Lota Schwager on Sunday 21 June in the Segunda División – the ball rolls at 21:00 WAT. In the table, Lota Schwager are 10th, lower half, on 13 points after 12 matches; Santiago Morning are 13th (in the drop zone) with 10. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Lota Schwager, last 3: WDL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Linares Unido, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Santiago Morning, last 3: LDD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to General Velásquez, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Momentum favours Lota Schwager, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.7 for Santiago Morning.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Lota Schwager 1.4 xG, Santiago Morning 0.9 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 56%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Lota Schwager 43%, draw 24%, Santiago Morning 33%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Lota Schwager to win @3.10 – the bookmaker implies 32%, our ratings say 43%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (66%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lota Schwager 1–1 Santiago Morning. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Lota Schwager43%fair 2.33 · @3.10
Draw24%fair 4.11 · @3.10
Santiago Morning33%fair 3.05 · @2.25
2.34Expected goals
1.44Lota Schwager xG
0.90Santiago Morning xG
56%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–112%
2–010%
0–010%
2–19%
0–19%
From our goals model: Lota Schwager 1.4 – 0.9 Santiago Morning expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lota Schwager to win✗
43%
2.33
3.10 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.32
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.80
1.95 ▲
Draw no bet
Lota Schwager (draw no bet)
57%
1.76
–
Asian handicap
Santiago Morning +1 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
1.44
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.68
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.18
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
First team to score
Lota Schwager to score first✗
56%
1.80
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lota Schwager / FT Lota Schwager✗
29%
3.40
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.12
–
Recent results
Lota Schwager – last 3
WDL
14 Jun
@ Linares Unido
1–0
W
6 Jun
@ Deportes Rengo
1–1
D
30 May
vs Linares Unido
0–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Santiago Morning – last 3
LDD
7 Jun
vs General Velásquez
0–1
L
30 May
vs Provincial Osorno
0–0
D
24 May
@ Colchagua
1–1
D
0.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lota Schwager and Santiago Morning.
What is the prediction for Lota Schwager vs Santiago Morning?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Lota Schwager vs Santiago Morning?
On our numbers Lota Schwager have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Santiago Morning 33%.
How many goals will there be in Lota Schwager vs Santiago Morning?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lota Schwager vs Santiago Morning?
Our predicted score is Lota Schwager 1–1 Santiago Morning, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Lota Schwager vs Santiago Morning?
Lota Schwager vs Santiago Morning (Segunda División) kicks off on Sunday 21 June 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
