Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.88 – our chance 58% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultDeportivo Maldonado to win ✓39% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.32
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.88
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.64
Deportivo Maldonado vs Atletico Torque: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
18:00 WAT, Tuesday 24 March: Deportivo Maldonado v Atletico Torque in the Primera División Apertura, played at Estadio Domingo Burgueno Miguel. In the table, Deportivo Maldonado are 4th, among the top four, on 22 points after 13 matches; Atletico Torque are 2nd (among the top four) with 28.
Current form
Deportivo Maldonado, last 4: LDWL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Cerro Largo, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Atletico Torque, last 5: DWWWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Liverpool Montevideo, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Atletico Torque, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.0 for Deportivo Maldonado.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Deportivo Maldonado 1.4 xG, Atletico Torque 1.2 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Deportivo Maldonado 39%, draw 26%, Atletico Torque 35%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.88.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.88 – the bookmaker implies 53%, our ratings say 58%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Deportivo Maldonado 1–1 Atletico Torque. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Deportivo Maldonado39%fair 2.58 · @2.50
Draw26%fair 3.86 · @3.20
Atletico Torque35%fair 2.83 · @2.60
2.56Expected goals
1.36Deportivo Maldonado xG
1.20Atletico Torque xG
58%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
1–28%
From our goals model: Deportivo Maldonado 1.4 – 1.2 Atletico Torque expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Deportivo Maldonado
Atletico Torque
Attack vs Primera División Apertura average
+14%
+43%
Goals conceded vs average
-23%
+2%
Our expected goals here
1.50
1.18
Our own ratings from every Primera División Apertura result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Deportivo Maldonado to win✓
39%
2.58
2.50
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.32
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.72
1.88 ▲
Draw no bet
Deportivo Maldonado (draw no bet)✓
52%
1.91
–
Asian handicap
Atletico Torque +1 (Asian handicap)
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
70%
1.43
1.37
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.82
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
1.07
First team to score
Deportivo Maldonado to score first✓
49%
2.04
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Deportivo Maldonado / FT Deportivo Maldonado✓
24%
4.23
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.64
–
Recent results
Deportivo Maldonado – last 4
LDWL
20 Mar
@ Cerro Largo
1–3
L
7 Mar
@ Wanderers
0–0
D
3 Mar
vs Juventud
2–1
W
23 Feb
@ Penarol
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Atletico Torque – last 6
DWWWWD
17 Mar
@ Liverpool Montevideo
0–0
D
9 Mar
@ Cerro Largo
1–0
W
3 Mar
vs Defensor Sporting
1–0
W
27 Feb
vs Defensor Sporting
1–0
W
22 Feb
@ Wanderers
4–0
W
17 Feb
vs Juventud
2–2
D
1.5Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Deportivo Maldonado and Atletico Torque.
What is the prediction for Deportivo Maldonado vs Atletico Torque?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Deportivo Maldonado vs Atletico Torque?
On our numbers Deportivo Maldonado have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Atletico Torque 35%.
How many goals will there be in Deportivo Maldonado vs Atletico Torque?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Deportivo Maldonado vs Atletico Torque?
Our predicted score is Deportivo Maldonado 1–1 Atletico Torque, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Deportivo Maldonado vs Atletico Torque?
Deportivo Maldonado vs Atletico Torque (Primera División Apertura) kicks off on Tuesday 24 March 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Domingo Burgueno Miguel.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
