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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Albion FC v Wanderers: numbers & prediction

Primera División Apertura · Uruguay · Estadio Luis Franzini
2–1
FT
Albion FC 40%Draw 27%Wanderers 33% Expected goals 1.31 – 1.11
66%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.50Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 52% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultAlbion FC to win ✓40% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓8% · fair 11.83

Albion FC vs Wanderers: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Albion FC welcome Wanderers to Estadio Luis Franzini for a Primera División Apertura fixture on Wednesday 25 March (18:00 WAT). In the table, Albion FC are 12th, lower half, on 13 points after 13 matches; Wanderers are 10th (lower half) with 16. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Albion FC, last 4: WLLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Juventud, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Wanderers, last 4: LDWL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Club Nacional, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Albion FC, collecting 1.5 points per game to 1.0 for Wanderers.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Albion FC 1.3 xG, Wanderers 1.1 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 52%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Albion FC 40%, draw 27%, Wanderers 33%.
  • GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.10.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 52%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (66%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Albion FC 1–1 Wanderers. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Albion FC40%fair 2.50 · @2.45
Draw27%fair 3.73 · @3.00
Wanderers33%fair 3.02 · @2.88
2.42Expected goals
1.31Albion FC xG
1.11Wanderers xG
52%Both score
40%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–012%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
2–08%

From our goals model: Albion FC 1.3 – 1.1 Wanderers expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Albion FCWanderers
Attack vs Primera División Apertura average+10%-1%
Goals conceded vs average+16%+10%
Our expected goals here1.551.24

Our own ratings from every Primera División Apertura result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAlbion FC to win ✓40%2.502.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73%1.371.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓52%1.912.10 ▲
Draw no betAlbion FC (draw no bet) ✓55%1.83–
Asian handicapWanderers +1 (Asian handicap)76%1.32–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓66%1.521.50
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗60%1.661.45
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80%1.251.14
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓90%1.11–
First team to scoreAlbion FC to score first ✓49%2.03–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗45%2.23–
Half-time / full-timeHT Albion FC / FT Albion FC ✓24%4.21–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓8%11.83–

Recent results

Albion FC – last 4

WLLW
22 Mar@ Juventud1–0W
15 Marvs Penarol0–1L
28 Febvs Racing Montevideo1–3L
16 Febvs Cerro3–0W
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
25%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Wanderers – last 4

LDWL
14 Mar@ Club Nacional0–2L
7 Marvs Deportivo Maldonado0–0D
1 Mar@ Central Espanol1–0W
22 Febvs Atletico Torque0–4L
0.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
25%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Albion FC and Wanderers.

Albion FC vs Wanderers head-to-head page →

Primera División Apertura table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Penarol351997+2465
2Deportivo Maldonado351898+2263
3Atletico Torque3519610+1863
4Club Nacional3519412+1161
5Racing Montevideo3516127+1460
6Liverpool Montevideo3516118+1659
7Wanderers3514912-251
8Albion FC3513814+347
9Juventud35101114-641
10Central Espanol3511816-1341
11Defensor Sporting3591214-839
12Cerro Largo3591016-837
13Boston River3510718-1337
14Cerro3510718-2437
15Progreso3510520-1835
16Danubio3561415-1632

More Primera División Apertura predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Albion FC vs Wanderers?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Albion FC vs Wanderers?

On our numbers Albion FC have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Wanderers 33%.

How many goals will there be in Albion FC vs Wanderers?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Albion FC vs Wanderers?

Our predicted score is Albion FC 1–1 Wanderers, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Albion FC vs Wanderers?

Albion FC vs Wanderers (Primera División Apertura) kicks off on Wednesday 25 March 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Luis Franzini.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.