Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.05 – our chance 53% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultJuventud to win ✗37% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓71% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗7% · fair 13.34
Cerro vs Juventud: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
21:00 WAT, Wednesday 25 March: Cerro v Juventud in the Primera División Apertura, played at Estadio Luis Troccoli. In the table, Cerro are 9th, lower half, on 18 points after 13 matches; Juventud are 8th (upper half) with 18. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Cerro, last 5: LLDDL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Penarol, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.6 goals a game.
Juventud, last 5: LLLDL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Albion FC, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Cerro 1.1 xG, Juventud 1.1 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 37%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Cerro 34%, draw 29%, Juventud 37%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.05.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.05 – the bookmaker implies 49%, our ratings say 53%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (63%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cerro 1–1 Juventud. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Cerro34%fair 2.97 · @2.88
Draw29%fair 3.43 · @2.90
Juventud37%fair 2.69 · @2.50
2.21Expected goals
1.09Cerro xG
1.12Juventud xG
53%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–112%
1–012%
0–011%
1–27%
2–17%
From our goals model: Cerro 1.1 – 1.1 Juventud expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Cerro
Juventud
Attack vs Primera División Apertura average
-9%
-18%
Goals conceded vs average
+20%
-8%
Our expected goals here
1.07
1.05
Our own ratings from every Primera División Apertura result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Juventud to win✗
37%
2.69
2.50
Double chance
Either team to win✓
71%
1.41
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.87
2.05 ▲
Draw no bet
Juventud (draw no bet)✗
52%
1.91
–
Asian handicap
Cerro +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
63%
1.58
1.50
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
1.48
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.23
1.15
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.08
–
First team to score
Juventud to score first✗
45%
2.21
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Juventud / FT Juventud✗
20%
4.90
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
7%
13.34
–
Recent results
Cerro – last 5
LLDDL
21 Mar
@ Penarol
1–3
L
8 Mar
@ Racing Montevideo
0–1
L
28 Feb
vs Boston River
1–1
D
20 Feb
vs Liverpool Montevideo
1–1
D
16 Feb
@ Albion FC
0–3
L
0.6Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
60%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Juventud – last 6
LLLDLW
22 Mar
vs Albion FC
0–1
L
16 Mar
@ Danubio
1–4
L
13 Mar
@ Independiente Medellin
1–2
L
6 Mar
vs Independiente Medellin
1–1
D
3 Mar
@ Deportivo Maldonado
1–2
L
26 Feb
@ Club Guarani
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cerro and Juventud.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Cerro vs Juventud?
On our numbers Cerro have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Juventud 37%.
How many goals will there be in Cerro vs Juventud?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cerro vs Juventud?
Our predicted score is Cerro 1–1 Juventud, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Cerro vs Juventud?
Cerro vs Juventud (Primera División Apertura) kicks off on Wednesday 25 March 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Luis Troccoli.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
