Juventud 42%Draw 28%Boston River 30%Expected goals 1.17 – 0.91
63%
Betarazi pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.55 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.55Odds
Picks by market
ResultJuventud to win ✗42% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓72% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.90
Juventud vs Boston River: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Boston River travel to face Juventud on Sunday 29 March in the Primera División Apertura, with Parque Artigas the venue – the ball rolls at 17:00 WAT. In the table, Juventud are 8th, upper half, on 18 points after 13 matches; Boston River are 11th (lower half) with 15. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Juventud, last 5: LLLLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Cerro, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Boston River, last 5: LLWDL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Penarol, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.4 goals a game.
Momentum favours Boston River, collecting 0.8 points per game to 0.2 for Juventud.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Juventud 1.2 xG, Boston River 0.9 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 63%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Juventud 42%, draw 28%, Boston River 30%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.95.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (63%, odds 1.55). Most likely score in line with that pick: Juventud 1–0 Boston River. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Juventud42%fair 2.40 · @2.25
Draw28%fair 3.52 · @3.10
Boston River30%fair 3.33 · @3.10
2.07Expected goals
1.17Juventud xG
0.91Boston River xG
52%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
1–113%
0–013%
0–111%
2–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Juventud 1.2 – 0.9 Boston River expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Juventud
Boston River
Attack vs Primera División Apertura average
-18%
-15%
Goals conceded vs average
-8%
+8%
Our expected goals here
1.14
0.84
Our own ratings from every Primera División Apertura result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Juventud to win✗
42%
2.40
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✓
72%
1.40
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.94
1.95
Draw no bet
Juventud (draw no bet)✗
58%
1.72
–
Asian handicap
Boston River +1 (Asian handicap)✓
77%
1.31
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
1.44
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
63%
1.59
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
1.18
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
94%
1.06
–
First team to score
Juventud to score first
49%
2.03
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
49%
2.05
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Juventud / FT Juventud✗
24%
4.22
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.90
–
Recent results
Juventud – last 6
LLLLDL
25 Mar
@ Cerro
0–1
L
22 Mar
vs Albion FC
0–1
L
16 Mar
@ Danubio
1–4
L
13 Mar
@ Independiente Medellin
1–2
L
6 Mar
vs Independiente Medellin
1–1
D
3 Mar
@ Deportivo Maldonado
1–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Boston River – last 5
LLWDL
26 Mar
vs Penarol
0–2
L
10 Mar
vs Liverpool Montevideo
0–1
L
5 Mar
vs Racing Montevideo
1–0
W
28 Feb
@ Cerro
1–1
D
15 Feb
@ Danubio
0–2
L
0.4Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
20%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Juventud and Boston River.
What is the prediction for Juventud vs Boston River?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Juventud vs Boston River?
On our numbers Juventud have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Boston River 30%.
How many goals will there be in Juventud vs Boston River?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Juventud vs Boston River?
Our predicted score is Juventud 1–0 Boston River, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Juventud vs Boston River?
Juventud vs Boston River (Primera División Apertura) kicks off on Sunday 29 March 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Parque Artigas.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
