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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

HNK Gorica v Dinamo Zagreb: numbers & prediction

Cup · Croatia · Gradski stadion Velika Gorica
3–6
FT
HNK Gorica 15%Draw 19%Dinamo Zagreb 67% Expected goals 1.10 – 2.58
82%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.22Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.90 – our chance 60% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultDinamo Zagreb to win ✓67% · @1.40
Double chanceDinamo Zagreb or draw ✓85% · @1.05
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.90
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.83

HNK Gorica vs Dinamo Zagreb: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

HNK Gorica welcome Dinamo Zagreb to Gradski stadion Velika Gorica for a Cup fixture on Wednesday 8 April (17:30 WAT).

Current form

HNK Gorica, last 5: DWWLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with NK Varazdin, away. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Dinamo Zagreb, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over HNK Hajduk Split, away. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.8 a game lately.

Momentum favours Dinamo Zagreb, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.8 for HNK Gorica.

Head to head

When they last met (1 Mar 2026) it ended Dinamo Zagreb 4–2 HNK Gorica.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give HNK Gorica 1.1 xG, Dinamo Zagreb 2.6 xG – a total near 3.7. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 63% and GG at 60%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – HNK Gorica 15%, draw 19%, Dinamo Zagreb 67%.
  • GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.90.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.90 – the bookmaker implies 53%, our ratings say 60%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (82%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: HNK Gorica 1–2 Dinamo Zagreb. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

HNK Gorica15%fair 6.86 · @6.60
Draw19%fair 5.32 · @4.40
Dinamo Zagreb67%fair 1.50 · @1.40
3.68Expected goals
1.10HNK Gorica xG
2.58Dinamo Zagreb xG
60%Both score
63%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–29%
0–28%
1–38%
0–37%
1–17%
0–17%

From our goals model: HNK Gorica 1.1 – 2.6 Dinamo Zagreb expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultDinamo Zagreb to win ✓67%1.501.40
Double chanceDinamo Zagreb or draw ✓85%1.171.05
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓60%1.661.90 ▲
Draw no betDinamo Zagreb (draw no bet) ✓82%1.22–
Asian handicapDinamo Zagreb -1 (Asian handicap) ✓61%1.64–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82%1.211.22
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓63%1.591.70 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗58%1.721.40
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗69%1.45–
First team to scoreDinamo Zagreb to score first68%1.46–
Half-time resultDinamo Zagreb ahead at half-time ✗52%1.93–
Half-time / full-timeHT Dinamo Zagreb / FT Dinamo Zagreb ✗47%2.14–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%10.83–

Recent results

HNK Gorica – last 6

DWWLWD
3 Apr@ NK Varazdin1–1D
22 Marvs HNK Rijeka4–0W
4 Mar@ NK Varazdin3–1W
1 Mar@ Dinamo Zagreb2–4L
21 Feb@ Istra 19612–0W
15 Febvs Vukovar0–0D
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Dinamo Zagreb – last 6

WWWWWL
8 Mar@ HNK Hajduk Split3–1W
4 Marvs Kurilovec2–0W
1 Marvs HNK Gorica4–2W
26 Feb@ Genk3–1W
22 Feb@ NK Varazdin4–0W
19 Febvs Genk1–3L
2.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

1 Mar 2026Dinamo Zagreb v HNK Gorica4–2
HNK Gorica vs Dinamo Zagreb head-to-head page →

More Cup predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for HNK Gorica vs Dinamo Zagreb?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win HNK Gorica vs Dinamo Zagreb?

On our numbers HNK Gorica have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Dinamo Zagreb 67%.

How many goals will there be in HNK Gorica vs Dinamo Zagreb?

We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for HNK Gorica vs Dinamo Zagreb?

Our predicted score is HNK Gorica 1–2 Dinamo Zagreb, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.

When is HNK Gorica vs Dinamo Zagreb?

HNK Gorica vs Dinamo Zagreb (Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 8 April 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Gradski stadion Velika Gorica.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.