Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.28Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.95 – our chance 59% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultHNK Rijeka to win ✓61% · @1.45
Double chanceHNK Rijeka or draw ✓84% · @1.05
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.39
HNK Rijeka vs NK Slaven Belupo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
NK Slaven Belupo travel to face HNK Rijeka on Wednesday 8 April in the Cup, with Stadion HNK Rijeka the venue – the ball rolls at 15:30 WAT.
Current form
HNK Rijeka, last 5: LDLLW Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to HNK Gorica, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
NK Slaven Belupo, last 4: DWDW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with NK Osijek, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours NK Slaven Belupo, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.2 for HNK Rijeka.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give HNK Rijeka 2.3 xG, NK Slaven Belupo 1.2 xG – a total near 3.5. That is an open game on paper: 59% for three or more goals, 59% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – HNK Rijeka 61%, draw 22%, NK Slaven Belupo 16%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 59%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (79%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: HNK Rijeka 2–1 NK Slaven Belupo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
HNK Rijeka61%fair 1.63 · @1.45
Draw22%fair 4.45 · @3.90
NK Slaven Belupo16%fair 6.15 · @6.40
3.47Expected goals
2.27HNK Rijeka xG
1.20NK Slaven Belupo xG
59%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
1–18%
2–08%
3–17%
1–07%
3–06%
From our goals model: HNK Rijeka 2.3 – 1.2 NK Slaven Belupo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
HNK Rijeka to win✓
61%
1.63
1.45
Double chance
HNK Rijeka or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.05
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.70
1.95 ▲
Draw no bet
HNK Rijeka (draw no bet)✓
79%
1.27
–
Asian handicap
HNK Rijeka -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.70
1.85 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
–
First team to score
HNK Rijeka to score first✓
63%
1.58
–
Half-time result
HNK Rijeka ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT HNK Rijeka / FT HNK Rijeka✗
40%
2.51
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.39
–
Recent results
HNK Rijeka – last 6
LDLLWW
22 Mar
@ HNK Gorica
0–4
L
19 Mar
@ Strasbourg
1–1
D
15 Mar
vs Istra 1961
0–2
L
12 Mar
vs Strasbourg
1–2
L
8 Mar
@ Vukovar
1–0
W
1 Mar
vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
2–0
W
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
NK Slaven Belupo – last 4
DWDW
22 Mar
vs NK Osijek
0–0
D
27 Feb
vs Istra 1961
1–0
W
20 Feb
@ Vukovar
2–2
D
13 Feb
vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
2–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between HNK Rijeka and NK Slaven Belupo.
What is the prediction for HNK Rijeka vs NK Slaven Belupo?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win HNK Rijeka vs NK Slaven Belupo?
On our numbers HNK Rijeka have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 22% and NK Slaven Belupo 16%.
How many goals will there be in HNK Rijeka vs NK Slaven Belupo?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for HNK Rijeka vs NK Slaven Belupo?
Our predicted score is HNK Rijeka 2–1 NK Slaven Belupo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is HNK Rijeka vs NK Slaven Belupo?
HNK Rijeka vs NK Slaven Belupo (Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 8 April 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion HNK Rijeka.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
HNK Gorica3
Dinamo Zagreb6