Al Kahrabaa vs Naft: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Tuesday 17 March the Iraqi League brings Al Kahrabaa against Naft. Kick-off: 19:00 WAT. In the table, Al Kahrabaa are 18th, in the drop zone, on 11 points after 13 matches; Naft are 3rd (among the top four) with 25. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Al Kahrabaa, last 3: LLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Al Talaba, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.
Naft, last 4: DLWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Al Najaf, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Al Kahrabaa 0.9 xG, Naft 1.0 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 70%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Al Kahrabaa 34%, draw 30%, Naft 37%.
GG/NG: GG (50%) at 2.10.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (50%, odds 2.10 – longer than our fair 1.98, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Al Kahrabaa 1–1 Naft. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Al Kahrabaa34%fair 2.98 · @2.45
Draw30%fair 3.38 · @3.00
Naft37%fair 2.72 · @2.70
1.92Expected goals
0.88Al Kahrabaa xG
1.04Naft xG
50%Both score
30%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–115%
0–015%
1–113%
1–013%
0–28%
1–27%
From our goals model: Al Kahrabaa 0.9 – 1.0 Naft expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Naft to win✓
37%
2.72
2.70
Double chance
Either team to win✓
70%
1.42
1.40
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
50%
1.98
2.10 ▲
Draw no bet
Naft (draw no bet)✓
52%
1.91
–
Asian handicap
Al Kahrabaa +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
57%
1.75
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
95%
1.05
–
First team to score
Naft to score first
46%
2.16
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
51%
1.96
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
23%
4.40
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
7%
14.31
–
Recent results
Al Kahrabaa – last 3
LLW
12 Mar
vs Al Talaba
1–2
L
2 Mar
@ Al Shorta
0–2
L
22 Feb
vs Baghdad
5–0
W
2.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Naft – last 4
DLWL
13 Mar
vs Al Najaf
1–1
D
6 Mar
vs Al Karkh
0–1
L
1 Mar
@ Baghdad
2–1
W
22 Feb
@ Zakho
0–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Al Kahrabaa and Naft.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 50% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.10.
Who will win Al Kahrabaa vs Naft?
On our numbers Al Kahrabaa have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 30% and Naft 37%.
How many goals will there be in Al Kahrabaa vs Naft?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 30% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al Kahrabaa vs Naft?
Our predicted score is Al Kahrabaa 1–1 Naft, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Al Kahrabaa vs Naft?
Al Kahrabaa vs Naft (Iraqi League) kicks off on Tuesday 17 March 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
