Gharraf vs Al Zawra'a: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Tuesday 17 March the Iraqi League brings Gharraf against Al Zawra'a. Kick-off: 21:15 WAT. In the table, Gharraf are 13th, lower half, on 14 points after 13 matches; Al Zawra'a are 6th (upper half) with 21.
Current form
Gharraf, last 5: LLLWW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Al-Karma, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Al Zawra'a, last 4: DDLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Naft Maysan, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Gharraf, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.5 for Al Zawra'a.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Gharraf 1.1 xG, Al Zawra'a 1.0 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 66%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Gharraf 37%, draw 29%, Al Zawra'a 34%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.00.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (53%, odds 2.00 – longer than our fair 1.88, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gharraf 1–1 Al Zawra'a. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Gharraf37%fair 2.68 · @2.60
Draw29%fair 3.46 · @3.00
Al Zawra'a34%fair 2.97 · @2.60
2.05Expected goals
1.09Gharraf xG
0.96Al Zawra'a xG
53%Both score
34%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–113%
0–013%
0–112%
2–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Gharraf 1.1 – 1.0 Al Zawra'a expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Gharraf to win✗
37%
2.68
2.60
Double chance
Either team to win✓
71%
1.41
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.88
2.00 ▲
Draw no bet
Gharraf (draw no bet)✗
53%
1.90
–
Asian handicap
Al Zawra'a +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
94%
1.06
–
First team to score
Gharraf to score first✗
46%
2.16
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
49%
2.03
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Gharraf / FT Gharraf✗
21%
4.67
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
7%
13.63
–
Recent results
Gharraf – last 5
LLLWW
12 Mar
@ Al-Karma
0–3
L
6 Mar
vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya
1–2
L
26 Feb
@ Zakho
0–2
L
20 Feb
vs Duhok
4–3
W
13 Feb
@ Al Minaa Basra
1–0
W
1.2Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
40%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Al Zawra'a – last 4
DDLL
13 Mar
vs Naft Maysan
1–1
D
2 Mar
vs Mosul
1–1
D
26 Feb
vs Al Shorta
1–2
L
17 Feb
@ Al-Wasl FC
2–3
L
1.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
100%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gharraf and Al Zawra'a.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.00.
Who will win Gharraf vs Al Zawra'a?
On our numbers Gharraf have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Al Zawra'a 34%.
How many goals will there be in Gharraf vs Al Zawra'a?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gharraf vs Al Zawra'a?
Our predicted score is Gharraf 1–1 Al Zawra'a, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Gharraf vs Al Zawra'a?
Gharraf vs Al Zawra'a (Iraqi League) kicks off on Tuesday 17 March 2026 at 21:15 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
