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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Atletico Goianiense v Ponte Preta: numbers & prediction

Copa Do Brasil · Brazil · Estádio Antônio Accioly

Atletico Goianiense

DWWWD
1–0
FT

Ponte Preta

WL
Atletico Goianiense 64%Draw 22%Ponte Preta 14% Expected goals 1.63 – 0.48
80%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1

Value bet: Atletico Goianiense to win @ 1.67 – our chance 64% vs 60% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultAtletico Goianiense to win ✓64% · @1.67
Double chanceAtletico Goianiense or draw ✓86% · @1.11
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓20% · fair 5.06

Atletico Goianiense vs Ponte Preta: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Thursday 19 March the Copa Do Brasil brings Atletico Goianiense against Ponte Preta at Estádio Antônio Accioly. Kick-off: 00:00 WAT.

Current form

Atletico Goianiense, last 5: DWWWD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Goias, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Atletico Goianiense 1.6 xG, Ponte Preta 0.5 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 60%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Atletico Goianiense 64%, draw 22%, Ponte Preta 14%.
  • GG/NG: NG (54%) at 1.70.
  • Price worth noting: Atletico Goianiense to win @1.67 – the bookmaker implies 60%, our ratings say 64%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (80%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Atletico Goianiense 1–0 Ponte Preta. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Atletico Goianiense64%fair 1.55 · @1.67
Draw22%fair 4.59 · @3.45
Ponte Preta14%fair 7.24 · @4.90
2.11Expected goals
1.63Atletico Goianiense xG
0.48Ponte Preta xG
46%Both score
40%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–020%
2–016%
0–012%
1–19%
3–09%
2–18%

From our goals model: Atletico Goianiense 1.6 – 0.5 Ponte Preta expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAtletico Goianiense to win ✓64%1.551.67 ▲
Double chanceAtletico Goianiense or draw ✓86%1.161.11
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓54%1.871.70
Draw no betAtletico Goianiense (draw no bet) ✓82%1.21–
Asian handicapAtletico Goianiense -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓66%1.52–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗65%1.531.36
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓60%1.671.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80%1.251.22
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓94%1.07–
First team to scoreAtletico Goianiense to score first ✓68%1.47–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓46%2.19–
Half-time / full-timeHT Atletico Goianiense / FT Atletico Goianiense ✗41%2.44–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓20%5.06–

Recent results

Atletico Goianiense – last 5

DWWWD
15 Mar@ Goias0–0D
12 Mar@ Porto Velho1–0W
25 Febvs Primavera MG1–0W
22 Febvs Vila Nova2–0W
15 Febvs ABECAT Ouvidorense1–1D
1.0Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
20%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Ponte Preta – last 2

WL
11 Marvs Guarany de Bagé1–0W
16 Febvs Sao Paulo1–2L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Atletico Goianiense and Ponte Preta.

Atletico Goianiense vs Ponte Preta head-to-head page →

More Copa Do Brasil predictions

League hub
FT CRB1 Figueirense0 153%1.61X26%3.30222%5.90 1.4–0.9xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 67%@1.45 ✗
– Jacuipense0 Novorizontino0 Pens 4–3 114%6.75X25%3.50262%1.53 0.8–1.8xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 76%@1.20 ✓
FT Juventude3 Águia de Marabá0 167%1.28X22%4.40211%12.00 1.9–0.8xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 73%@1.30 ✓
FT Maringá0 Goias1 138%2.74X29%2.88233%2.65 1.6–1.3xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 71%@1.45 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Atletico Goianiense vs Ponte Preta?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Atletico Goianiense vs Ponte Preta?

On our numbers Atletico Goianiense have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Ponte Preta 14%.

How many goals will there be in Atletico Goianiense vs Ponte Preta?

We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Atletico Goianiense vs Ponte Preta?

Our predicted score is Atletico Goianiense 1–0 Ponte Preta, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.

When is Atletico Goianiense vs Ponte Preta?

Atletico Goianiense vs Ponte Preta (Copa Do Brasil) kicks off on Thursday 19 March 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Antônio Accioly.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.