Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.90 – our chance 57% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultMaringá to win ✗38% · @2.74
Double chanceEither team to win ✓71% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.90
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.07
Maringá vs Goias: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Maringá welcome Goias to Estádio Willie Davids for a Copa Do Brasil fixture on Thursday 19 March (23:30 WAT).
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Maringá 1.6 xG, Goias 1.3 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 57%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Maringá 38%, draw 29%, Goias 33%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.90.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.90 – the bookmaker implies 53%, our ratings say 57%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (71%, odds 1.45 – longer than our fair 1.40, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Maringá 1–1 Goias. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Maringá38%fair 2.66 · @2.74
Draw29%fair 3.45 · @2.88
Goias33%fair 3.00 · @2.65
2.89Expected goals
1.57Maringá xG
1.32Goias xG
57%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
2–19%
1–09%
1–28%
0–17%
2–07%
From our goals model: Maringá 1.6 – 1.3 Goias expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Maringá to win✗
38%
2.66
2.74
Double chance
Either team to win✓
71%
1.41
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.75
1.90 ▲
Draw no bet
Maringá (draw no bet)✗
53%
1.89
–
Asian handicap
Goias +1 (Asian handicap)✓
72%
1.38
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
71%
1.40
1.45
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.90
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.18
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
–
First team to score
Maringá to score first✗
51%
1.95
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
40%
2.47
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Maringá / FT Maringá✗
26%
3.89
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.07
–
Recent results
Maringá – last 2
WW
11 Mar
vs Uberlandia
3–2
W
24 Feb
@ Boavista SC
3–2
W
3.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Goias – last 2
DW
15 Mar
vs Atletico Goianiense
0–0
D
11 Mar
vs Fluminense PI
3–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Maringá and Goias.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Maringá vs Goias?
On our numbers Maringá have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Goias 33%.
How many goals will there be in Maringá vs Goias?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Maringá vs Goias?
Our predicted score is Maringá 1–1 Goias, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Maringá vs Goias?
Maringá vs Goias (Copa Do Brasil) kicks off on Thursday 19 March 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Willie Davids.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.