Value bet: Masr to win @ 2.64 – our chance 46% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultMasr to win ✓46% · @2.64
Double chanceMasr or draw ✓74% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗83% · @1.12
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.77
Masr vs Ghazl El Mehalla: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Wednesday 13 May the Premier League brings Masr against Ghazl El Mehalla at Cairo International Stadium. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT. In the table, Masr are 10th, upper half, on 11 points after 8 matches; Ghazl El Mehalla are 17th (lower half) with 7.
Current form
Masr, last 5: WWLLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Haras El Hodood, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Ghazl El Mehalla, last 5: LDDDW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to El Geish, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Head to head
When they last met (20 Feb 2026) it ended Ghazl El Mehalla 0–0 Masr.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Masr 1.4 xG, Ghazl El Mehalla 0.8 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 65%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Masr 46%, draw 28%, Ghazl El Mehalla 26%.
Lower-risk option: Masr or draw (74%) at 1.35.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.10.
Price worth noting: Masr to win @2.64 – the bookmaker implies 38%, our ratings say 46%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Masr or draw (74%, odds 1.35). Most likely score in line with that pick: Masr 1–0 Ghazl El Mehalla. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Masr46%fair 2.18 · @2.64
Draw28%fair 3.54 · @2.62
Ghazl El Mehalla26%fair 3.88 · @3.00
2.14Expected goals
1.36Masr xG
0.78Ghazl El Mehalla xG
51%Both score
35%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
1–112%
0–012%
2–011%
0–19%
2–18%
From our goals model: Masr 1.4 – 0.8 Ghazl El Mehalla expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Masr vs Ghazl El Mehalla?
Our pick is Masr or draw with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win Masr vs Ghazl El Mehalla?
On our numbers Masr have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Ghazl El Mehalla 26%.
How many goals will there be in Masr vs Ghazl El Mehalla?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Masr vs Ghazl El Mehalla?
Our predicted score is Masr 1–0 Ghazl El Mehalla, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Masr vs Ghazl El Mehalla?
Masr vs Ghazl El Mehalla (Premier League) kicks off on Wednesday 13 May 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Cairo International Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Haras El Hodood0