Value bet: Al Ittihad to win @ 2.70 – our chance 40% vs 37% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultAl Ittihad to win ✓40% · @2.70
Double chanceAl Ittihad or draw ✓71% · @1.36
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.60
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓69% · fair 1.44
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓16% · fair 6.13
Al Ittihad vs El Geish: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
El Geish travel to face Al Ittihad on Wednesday 13 May in the Premier League, with Alexandria Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 18:00 WAT. In the table, Al Ittihad are 5th, upper half, on 14 points after 8 matches; El Geish are 14th (lower half) with 8.
Current form
Al Ittihad, last 5: DLLDD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Future FC, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
El Geish, last 5: WDLWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Ghazl El Mehalla, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours El Geish, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.0 for Al Ittihad.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Al Ittihad 1.1 xG, El Geish 0.8 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 69%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Al Ittihad 40%, draw 32%, El Geish 29%.
Lower-risk option: Al Ittihad or draw (71%) at 1.36.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.60.
Price worth noting: Al Ittihad to win @2.70 – the bookmaker implies 37%, our ratings say 40%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Al Ittihad or draw (71%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Al Ittihad 1–0 El Geish. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Al Ittihad40%fair 2.50 · @2.70
Draw32%fair 3.17 · @2.50
El Geish29%fair 3.51 · @3.00
1.93Expected goals
1.13Al Ittihad xG
0.81El Geish xG
49%Both score
31%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
0–014%
1–113%
0–112%
2–09%
2–17%
From our goals model: Al Ittihad 1.1 – 0.8 El Geish expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Al Ittihad to win✓
40%
2.50
2.70 ▲
Double chance
Al Ittihad or draw✓
71%
1.40
1.36
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
51%
1.95
1.60
Draw no bet
Al Ittihad (draw no bet)✓
58%
1.71
–
Asian handicap
El Geish +1 (Asian handicap)
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
58%
1.74
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
95%
1.05
–
First team to score
Al Ittihad to score first✓
50%
2.00
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
51%
1.98
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Al Ittihad / FT Al Ittihad✓
24%
4.10
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
16%
6.13
–
Recent results
Al Ittihad – last 6
DLLDDW
8 May
@ Future FC
0–0
D
4 May
vs Petrojet
1–2
L
29 Apr
@ Wadi Degla
1–4
L
23 Apr
@ El Mokawloon
0–0
D
19 Apr
@ Haras El Hodood
2–2
D
14 Apr
vs Masr
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
El Geish – last 6
WDLWWD
7 May
vs Ghazl El Mehalla
1–0
W
29 Apr
@ Future FC
0–0
D
24 Apr
vs Kahraba Ismailia
1–2
L
13 Apr
vs Petrojet
2–0
W
9 Apr
vs National Bank of Egypt
1–0
W
5 Apr
@ Ismaily SC
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Al Ittihad and El Geish.
What is the prediction for Al Ittihad vs El Geish?
Our pick is Al Ittihad or draw with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Al Ittihad vs El Geish?
On our numbers Al Ittihad have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 32% and El Geish 29%.
How many goals will there be in Al Ittihad vs El Geish?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 31% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al Ittihad vs El Geish?
Our predicted score is Al Ittihad 1–0 El Geish, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Al Ittihad vs El Geish?
Al Ittihad vs El Geish (Premier League) kicks off on Wednesday 13 May 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Alexandria Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Haras El Hodood0