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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Ethiopia Bunna v Sheger Ketema: numbers & prediction

Premier League · Ethiopia
1–1
FT
Ethiopia Bunna 36%Draw 30%Sheger Ketema 34% Expected goals 0.97 – 0.99
59%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.71 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.53Odds

Picks by market

ResultEthiopia Bunna to win ✗36% · @2.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✗70% · @1.33
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗56% · fair 1.79
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓69% · fair 1.45
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.31

Ethiopia Bunna vs Sheger Ketema: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

11:00 WAT, Wednesday 8 April: Ethiopia Bunna v Sheger Ketema in the Premier League. In the table, Ethiopia Bunna are 14th, lower half, on 4 points after 5 matches; Sheger Ketema are 12th (lower half) with 5. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Ethiopia Bunna, last 3: LWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Mebrat Hayl, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Sheger Ketema, last 5: LWWDD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Arba Minch Kenema, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Ethiopia Bunna, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.5 for Sheger Ketema.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Ethiopia Bunna 1.0 xG, Sheger Ketema 1.0 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 69% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Ethiopia Bunna 36%, draw 30%, Sheger Ketema 34%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (59%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ethiopia Bunna 1–1 Sheger Ketema. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Ethiopia Bunna36%fair 2.81 · @2.55
Draw30%fair 3.29 · @2.70
Sheger Ketema34%fair 2.94 · @2.80
1.96Expected goals
0.97Ethiopia Bunna xG
0.99Sheger Ketema xG
44%Both score
31%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–014%
0–114%
1–014%
1–114%
0–27%
1–27%

From our goals model: Ethiopia Bunna 1.0 – 1.0 Sheger Ketema expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultEthiopia Bunna to win ✗36%2.812.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✗70%1.441.33
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗56%1.79–
Draw no betEthiopia Bunna (draw no bet)51%1.95–
Asian handicapEthiopia Bunna +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓65%1.53–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓59%1.711.53
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓69%1.45–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓86%1.16–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓95%1.05–
First team to scoreSheger Ketema to score first ✓43%2.31–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗50%1.98–
Half-time / full-timeHT Draw / FT Draw ✗22%4.48–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14%7.31–

Recent results

Ethiopia Bunna – last 3

LWW
8 Mar@ Mebrat Hayl1–2L
4 Marvs Bahardar2–0W
26 Feb@ Negelle Arsi1–0W
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Sheger Ketema – last 6

LWWDDD
3 Aprvs Arba Minch Kenema1–2L
13 Mar@ Hadiya Hosaena2–0W
8 Marvs Kedus Giorgis1–0W
3 Marvs Ethiopian Medhin1–1D
26 Feb@ Adama Kenema3–3D
22 Febvs Mebrat Hayl0–0D
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Ethiopia Bunna and Sheger Ketema.

Ethiopia Bunna vs Sheger Ketema head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Negelle Arsi5320+511
2Mekelakeya5311+310
3Welayta Dicha5221+68
4Ethiopia Nigd Bank522108
5Halaba Ketema5221-48
6Ethiopian Medhin4211+27
7Bahardar4211+27
8Mebrat Hayl521207
9Kedus Giorgis513106
10Adama Kenema513106
11Awassa Kenema412105
12Sheger Ketema5122-15
13Hadiya Hosaena4112-14
14Ethiopia Bunna5113-44
15Fasil Ketema4031-13
16Sidama Bunna2011-11
17Welwalo Adigrat Uni2011-21
18Gamo Chencha4013-41

More Premier League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Ethiopia Bunna vs Sheger Ketema?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.

Who will win Ethiopia Bunna vs Sheger Ketema?

On our numbers Ethiopia Bunna have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 30% and Sheger Ketema 34%.

How many goals will there be in Ethiopia Bunna vs Sheger Ketema?

We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 31% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Ethiopia Bunna vs Sheger Ketema?

Our predicted score is Ethiopia Bunna 1–1 Sheger Ketema, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.

When is Ethiopia Bunna vs Sheger Ketema?

Ethiopia Bunna vs Sheger Ketema (Premier League) kicks off on Wednesday 8 April 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.