Kedus Giorgis v Mebrat Hayl Prediction & Expected Goals (8 Apr) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultKedus Giorgis to win ✓39% · @2.15

Double chanceKedus Giorgis or draw ✓71% · @1.22

Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗55% · @1.57

GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗77% · fair 1.30

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.83

Kedus Giorgis vs Mebrat Hayl: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

14:00 WAT, Wednesday 8 April: Kedus Giorgis v Mebrat Hayl in the Premier League. In the table, Kedus Giorgis are 9th, upper half, on 6 points after 5 matches; Mebrat Hayl are 8th (upper half) with 7. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Kedus Giorgis, last 5: WLLDL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Hadiya Hosaena, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.4 goals a game.

Mebrat Hayl, last 5: DWWWL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Bahardar, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Mebrat Hayl, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.8 for Kedus Giorgis.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Kedus Giorgis 0.9 xG, Mebrat Hayl 0.8 xG – a total near 1.7. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 77%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Kedus Giorgis 39%, draw 31%, Mebrat Hayl 29%.
Lower-risk option: Kedus Giorgis or draw (71%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: NG (55%) at 1.57.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Kedus Giorgis or draw (71%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kedus Giorgis 0–0 Mebrat Hayl. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Kedus Giorgis39%fair 2.54 · @2.15

Draw31%fair 3.18 · @2.62

Mebrat Hayl29%fair 3.43 · @3.60

1.66Expected goals

0.91Kedus Giorgis xG

0.76Mebrat Hayl xG

45%Both score

23%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–019%

1–017%

0–114%

1–113%

2–08%

2–16%

From our goals model: Kedus Giorgis 0.9 – 0.8 Mebrat Hayl expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Kedus Giorgis to win ✓	39%	2.54	2.15
Double chance	Kedus Giorgis or draw ✓	71%	1.41	1.22
Both teams to score	Not both teams to score ✗	55%	1.82	1.57
Draw no bet	Kedus Giorgis (draw no bet) ✓	57%	1.74	–
Asian handicap	Mebrat Hayl +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗	63%	1.59	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Under 1.5 goals ✗	50%	1.98	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✗	77%	1.30	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	91%	1.10	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	97%	1.03	–
First team to score	Kedus Giorgis to score first ✗	44%	2.27	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	55%	1.83	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Draw / FT Draw ✗	26%	3.78	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–0 ✗	17%	5.83	–

Kedus Giorgis – last 5

WLLDL

4 Apr	@ Hadiya Hosaena	2–1	W
13 Mar	vs Bahardar	0–2	L
8 Mar	@ Sheger Ketema	0–1	L
3 Mar	vs Negelle Arsi	0–0	D
25 Feb	@ Ethiopian Medhin	0–3	L

0.4Scored / game

1.4Conceded / game

20%Both scored

40%Over 2.5

Mebrat Hayl – last 6

DWWWLD

3 Apr	vs Bahardar	0–0	D
15 Mar	@ Negelle Arsi	2–0	W
8 Mar	vs Ethiopia Bunna	2–1	W
4 Mar	@ Arba Minch Kenema	4–1	W
27 Feb	vs Hadiya Hosaena	0–1	L
22 Feb	@ Sheger Ketema	0–0	D

1.3Scored / game

0.5Conceded / game

33%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Negelle Arsi	5	3	2	0	+5	11
2	Mekelakeya	5	3	1	1	+3	10
3	Welayta Dicha	5	2	2	1	+6	8
4	Ethiopia Nigd Bank	5	2	2	1	0	8
5	Halaba Ketema	5	2	2	1	-4	8
6	Ethiopian Medhin	4	2	1	1	+2	7
7	Bahardar	4	2	1	1	+2	7
8	Mebrat Hayl	5	2	1	2	0	7
9	Kedus Giorgis	5	1	3	1	0	6
10	Adama Kenema	5	1	3	1	0	6
11	Awassa Kenema	4	1	2	1	0	5
12	Sheger Ketema	5	1	2	2	-1	5
13	Hadiya Hosaena	4	1	1	2	-1	4
14	Ethiopia Bunna	5	1	1	3	-4	4
15	Fasil Ketema	4	0	3	1	-1	3
16	Sidama Bunna	2	0	1	1	-1	1
17	Welwalo Adigrat Uni	2	0	1	1	-2	1
18	Gamo Chencha	4	0	1	3	-4	1

Team

Pts

-4

-1

-1

-4

-1

-1

-2

-4

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Kedus Giorgis vs Mebrat Hayl?

Our pick is Kedus Giorgis or draw with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Kedus Giorgis vs Mebrat Hayl?

On our numbers Kedus Giorgis have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 31% and Mebrat Hayl 29%.

How many goals will there be in Kedus Giorgis vs Mebrat Hayl?

We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 23% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Kedus Giorgis vs Mebrat Hayl?

Our predicted score is Kedus Giorgis 0–0 Mebrat Hayl, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.7 goals in total.

When is Kedus Giorgis vs Mebrat Hayl?

Kedus Giorgis vs Mebrat Hayl (Premier League) kicks off on Wednesday 8 April 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Kedus Giorgis v Mebrat Hayl: numbers & prediction