Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓57% · fair 1.75
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓71% · fair 1.41
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.38
Bahardar vs Sheger Ketema: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Sheger Ketema travel to face Bahardar on Monday 20 April in the Premier League – the ball rolls at 11:00 WAT. In the table, Bahardar are 7th, upper half, on 7 points after 4 matches; Sheger Ketema are 12th (lower half) with 5. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Bahardar, last 5: DWDWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Ethiopian Medhin, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Sheger Ketema, last 5: DDLWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Negelle Arsi, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Bahardar 1.0 xG, Sheger Ketema 0.9 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 71% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Bahardar 39%, draw 32%, Sheger Ketema 29%.
Lower-risk option: Bahardar or draw (71%) at 1.20.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Bahardar or draw (71%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bahardar 1–0 Sheger Ketema. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Bahardar39%fair 2.59 · @2.40
Draw32%fair 3.12 · @2.40
Sheger Ketema29%fair 3.41 · @3.45
1.88Expected goals
1.03Bahardar xG
0.85Sheger Ketema xG
43%Both score
29%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
0–015%
1–113%
0–113%
2–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Bahardar 1.0 – 0.9 Sheger Ketema expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bahardar to win✗
39%
2.59
2.40
Double chance
Bahardar or draw✗
71%
1.41
1.20
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
57%
1.75
–
Draw no bet
Bahardar (draw no bet)✗
57%
1.76
–
Asian handicap
Sheger Ketema +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
1.73
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
96%
1.04
–
First team to score
Bahardar to score first✗
46%
2.15
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
51%
1.95
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
23%
4.31
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.38
–
Recent results
Bahardar – last 6
DWDWDL
15 Apr
@ Ethiopian Medhin
1–1
D
10 Apr
vs Adama Kenema
2–1
W
3 Apr
@ Mebrat Hayl
0–0
D
13 Mar
@ Kedus Giorgis
2–0
W
9 Mar
vs Negelle Arsi
0–0
D
4 Mar
@ Ethiopia Bunna
0–2
L
0.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Sheger Ketema – last 6
DDLWWD
13 Apr
vs Negelle Arsi
1–1
D
8 Apr
@ Ethiopia Bunna
1–1
D
3 Apr
vs Arba Minch Kenema
1–2
L
13 Mar
@ Hadiya Hosaena
2–0
W
8 Mar
vs Kedus Giorgis
1–0
W
3 Mar
vs Ethiopian Medhin
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bahardar and Sheger Ketema.
What is the prediction for Bahardar vs Sheger Ketema?
Our pick is Bahardar or draw with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Bahardar vs Sheger Ketema?
On our numbers Bahardar have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 32% and Sheger Ketema 29%.
How many goals will there be in Bahardar vs Sheger Ketema?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 29% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bahardar vs Sheger Ketema?
Our predicted score is Bahardar 1–0 Sheger Ketema, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Bahardar vs Sheger Ketema?
Bahardar vs Sheger Ketema (Premier League) kicks off on Monday 20 April 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Suhul Shire0