Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.36 · Won ✓
7/10Rating
1.36Odds
Picks by market
ResultMebrat Hayl to win ✗35% · @2.80
Double chanceMebrat Hayl or draw ✓68% · @1.36
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗55% · @1.50
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.12
Mebrat Hayl vs Ethiopian Medhin: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
14:00 WAT, Monday 20 April: Mebrat Hayl v Ethiopian Medhin in the Premier League. In the table, Mebrat Hayl are 8th, upper half, on 7 points after 5 matches; Ethiopian Medhin are 6th (upper half) with 7. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Mebrat Hayl, last 5: WLDWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Adama Kenema, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Ethiopian Medhin, last 5: DDDDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Bahardar, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Mebrat Hayl, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.2 for Ethiopian Medhin.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Mebrat Hayl 0.9 xG, Ethiopian Medhin 0.8 xG – a total near 1.7. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 76%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Mebrat Hayl 35%, draw 33%, Ethiopian Medhin 32%.
Lower-risk option: Mebrat Hayl or draw (68%) at 1.36.
GG/NG: NG (55%) at 1.50.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Mebrat Hayl or draw (68%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mebrat Hayl 0–0 Ethiopian Medhin. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Mebrat Hayl35%fair 2.87 · @2.80
Draw33%fair 3.06 · @2.40
Ethiopian Medhin32%fair 3.08 · @2.80
1.69Expected goals
0.88Mebrat Hayl xG
0.80Ethiopian Medhin xG
45%Both score
24%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–018%
1–016%
0–115%
1–113%
2–07%
0–26%
From our goals model: Mebrat Hayl 0.9 – 0.8 Ethiopian Medhin expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Mebrat Hayl to win✗
35%
2.87
2.80
Double chance
Mebrat Hayl or draw✓
68%
1.48
1.36
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
55%
1.83
1.50
Draw no bet
Mebrat Hayl (draw no bet)
52%
1.93
–
Asian handicap
Ethiopian Medhin +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
50%
1.99
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
97%
1.03
–
First team to score
Mebrat Hayl to score first
43%
2.34
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
54%
1.84
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✓
26%
3.83
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.12
–
Recent results
Mebrat Hayl – last 6
WLDWWW
14 Apr
@ Adama Kenema
1–0
W
8 Apr
@ Kedus Giorgis
1–2
L
3 Apr
vs Bahardar
0–0
D
15 Mar
@ Negelle Arsi
2–0
W
8 Mar
vs Ethiopia Bunna
2–1
W
4 Mar
@ Arba Minch Kenema
4–1
W
1.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Ethiopian Medhin – last 6
DDDDWL
15 Apr
vs Bahardar
1–1
D
9 Apr
@ Negelle Arsi
1–1
D
9 Mar
vs Hadiya Hosaena
1–1
D
3 Mar
@ Sheger Ketema
1–1
D
25 Feb
vs Kedus Giorgis
3–0
W
21 Feb
vs Adama Kenema
0–1
L
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mebrat Hayl and Ethiopian Medhin.
What is the prediction for Mebrat Hayl vs Ethiopian Medhin?
Our pick is Mebrat Hayl or draw with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Mebrat Hayl vs Ethiopian Medhin?
On our numbers Mebrat Hayl have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 33% and Ethiopian Medhin 32%.
How many goals will there be in Mebrat Hayl vs Ethiopian Medhin?
We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 24% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mebrat Hayl vs Ethiopian Medhin?
Our predicted score is Mebrat Hayl 0–0 Ethiopian Medhin, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.7 goals in total.
When is Mebrat Hayl vs Ethiopian Medhin?
Mebrat Hayl vs Ethiopian Medhin (Premier League) kicks off on Monday 20 April 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Suhul Shire0