Value bet: Mlada Boleslav to win @ 3.55 – our chance 31% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultFK Jablonec to win ✓44% · @1.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.01
FK Jablonec vs Mlada Boleslav: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
FK Jablonec welcome Mlada Boleslav to Stadion Strelnice for a Cup fixture on Tuesday 21 April (16:00 WAT).
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give FK Jablonec 1.4 xG, Mlada Boleslav 1.4 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 62%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – FK Jablonec 44%, draw 25%, Mlada Boleslav 31%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.60.
Price worth noting: Mlada Boleslav to win @3.55 – the bookmaker implies 28%, our ratings say 31%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: FK Jablonec 1–1 Mlada Boleslav. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
FK Jablonec44%fair 2.29 · @1.85
Draw25%fair 3.98 · @3.55
Mlada Boleslav31%fair 3.20 · @3.55
2.75Expected goals
1.38FK Jablonec xG
1.37Mlada Boleslav xG
62%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–09%
0–19%
2–18%
1–28%
0–06%
From our goals model: FK Jablonec 1.4 – 1.4 Mlada Boleslav expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
FK Jablonec
Mlada Boleslav
Attack vs Cup average
-8%
+20%
Goals conceded vs average
-18%
-23%
Our expected goals here
0.98
1.31
Our own ratings from every Cup result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FK Jablonec to win✓
44%
2.29
1.85
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.34
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
62%
1.61
1.60
Draw no bet
FK Jablonec (draw no bet)✓
58%
1.72
–
Asian handicap
Mlada Boleslav +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
63%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
76%
1.31
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.88
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.46
1.40
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
First team to score
FK Jablonec to score first✓
47%
2.13
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.39
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FK Jablonec / FT FK Jablonec✓
22%
4.61
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.01
–
Recent results
FK Jablonec – last 2
WW
21 Feb
vs Karviná
1–0
W
15 Feb
@ Pardubice
2–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Mlada Boleslav – last 2
DD
22 Feb
@ Baník Ostrava
0–0
D
15 Feb
vs Teplice
0–0
D
0.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FK Jablonec and Mlada Boleslav.
What is the prediction for FK Jablonec vs Mlada Boleslav?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win FK Jablonec vs Mlada Boleslav?
On our numbers FK Jablonec have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Mlada Boleslav 31%.
How many goals will there be in FK Jablonec vs Mlada Boleslav?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FK Jablonec vs Mlada Boleslav?
Our predicted score is FK Jablonec 1–1 Mlada Boleslav, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is FK Jablonec vs Mlada Boleslav?
FK Jablonec vs Mlada Boleslav (Cup) kicks off on Tuesday 21 April 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Strelnice.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Karviná2
Baník Ostrava1