Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
2
Value bet: Baník Ostrava to win @ 2.62 – our chance 48% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +25%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultBaník Ostrava to win ✗48% · @2.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.63
Karviná vs Baník Ostrava: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Baník Ostrava travel to face Karviná on Tuesday 21 April in the Cup, with Town Stadium Karvina the venue – the ball rolls at 19:00 WAT.
Current form
Karviná, last 5: WLDLW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Slovan Liberec, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Baník Ostrava, last 4: LWDL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Slavia Praha, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Karviná 1.3 xG, Baník Ostrava 2.2 xG – a total near 3.5. That is an open game on paper: 61% for three or more goals, 61% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Karviná 31%, draw 22%, Baník Ostrava 48%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.60.
Price worth noting: Baník Ostrava to win @2.62 – the bookmaker implies 38%, our ratings say 48%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (81%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Karviná 1–2 Baník Ostrava. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Karviná31%fair 3.24 · @2.35
Draw22%fair 4.64 · @3.40
Baník Ostrava48%fair 2.10 · @2.62
3.55Expected goals
1.34Karviná xG
2.21Baník Ostrava xG
61%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–29%
1–19%
0–27%
1–37%
0–16%
2–26%
From our goals model: Karviná 1.3 – 2.2 Baník Ostrava expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Karviná
Baník Ostrava
Attack vs Cup average
+5%
+18%
Goals conceded vs average
-19%
-18%
Our expected goals here
0.97
2.50
Our own ratings from every Cup result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Baník Ostrava to win✗
48%
2.10
2.62 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.27
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.64
1.60
Draw no bet
Baník Ostrava (draw no bet)✗
61%
1.65
–
Asian handicap
Karviná +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.65
1.77 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
61%
1.65
1.36
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
72%
1.40
–
First team to score
Baník Ostrava to score first
60%
1.65
–
Half-time result
Baník Ostrava ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Baník Ostrava / FT Baník Ostrava✗
37%
2.73
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.63
–
Recent results
Karviná – last 6
WLDLWL
12 Apr
vs Slovan Liberec
3–1
W
5 Apr
@ Sparta Praha
0–2
L
15 Mar
@ Sigma Olomouc
2–2
D
8 Mar
vs Pardubice
1–2
L
5 Mar
vs Plzen
3–0
W
1 Mar
vs Slovácko
0–2
L
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Baník Ostrava – last 4
LWDL
5 Apr
vs Slavia Praha
0–2
L
8 Mar
vs Zlin
6–2
W
22 Feb
vs Mlada Boleslav
0–0
D
15 Feb
@ Slovan Liberec
0–1
L
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Karviná and Baník Ostrava.
What is the prediction for Karviná vs Baník Ostrava?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Karviná vs Baník Ostrava?
On our numbers Karviná have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Baník Ostrava 48%.
How many goals will there be in Karviná vs Baník Ostrava?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Karviná vs Baník Ostrava?
Our predicted score is Karviná 1–2 Baník Ostrava, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Karviná vs Baník Ostrava?
Karviná vs Baník Ostrava (Cup) kicks off on Tuesday 21 April 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Town Stadium Karvina.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
FK Jablonec1
Mlada Boleslav0