CSM Satu Mare v Dumbrăviţa Prediction & Expected Goals (4 Apr) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultCSM Satu Mare to win ✓44% · @2.05

Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.25

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.75

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74% · @1.28

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.95

CSM Satu Mare vs Dumbrăviţa: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

CSM Satu Mare welcome Dumbrăviţa to Daniel Prodan Stadium for a Liga II fixture on Saturday 4 April (09:00 WAT). In the table, CSM Satu Mare are 18th, lower half, on 9 points after 13 matches; Dumbrăviţa are 22nd (in the drop zone) with 4.

Current form

CSM Satu Mare, last 5: LWLDL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to CSM Reşiţa, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Dumbrăviţa, last 5: LWWWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Concordia, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.6 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Dumbrăviţa, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.8 for CSM Satu Mare.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give CSM Satu Mare 1.5 xG, Dumbrăviţa 1.0 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 58%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – CSM Satu Mare 44%, draw 26%, Dumbrăviţa 30%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.75.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: CSM Satu Mare 1–1 Dumbrăviţa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

CSM Satu Mare44%fair 2.27 · @2.05

Draw26%fair 3.83 · @3.30

Dumbrăviţa30%fair 3.36 · @3.20

2.50Expected goals

1.47CSM Satu Mare xG

1.04Dumbrăviţa xG

58%Both score

47%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%

1–012%

2–19%

2–09%

0–18%

0–08%

From our goals model: CSM Satu Mare 1.5 – 1.0 Dumbrăviţa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	CSM Satu Mare to win ✓	44%	2.27	2.05
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	74%	1.35	1.25
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	58%	1.72	1.75
Draw no bet	CSM Satu Mare (draw no bet) ✓	60%	1.68	–
Asian handicap	Dumbrăviţa +1 (Asian handicap)	69%	1.44	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	71%	1.40	1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✗	53%	1.87	1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	74%	1.35	1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✗	89%	1.12	–
First team to score	CSM Satu Mare to score first ✓	54%	1.86	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	44%	2.29	–
Half-time / full-time	HT CSM Satu Mare / FT CSM Satu Mare ✓	28%	3.57	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	9%	10.95	–

CSM Satu Mare – last 5

LWLDL

21 Mar	@ CSM Reşiţa	0–2	L
14 Mar	vs CS Dinamo București	2–0	W
7 Mar	@ Concordia	2–4	L
28 Feb	vs Tunari	1–1	D
21 Feb	@ Politehnica Iasi	0–2	L

1.0Scored / game

1.8Conceded / game

40%Both scored

20%Over 2.5

Dumbrăviţa – last 5

LWWWL

21 Mar	@ Concordia	0–1	L
14 Mar	vs Concordia	1–0	W
28 Feb	vs Politehnica Iasi	1–0	W
21 Feb	@ CS Afumati	1–0	W
14 Feb	vs Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii	0–2	L

0.6Scored / game

0.6Conceded / game

0%Both scored

0%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Chindia Targoviste	13	10	0	3	+19	30
2	FC Politehnica Timisoara	13	8	5	0	+13	29
3	Slatina	13	9	1	3	+9	28
4	Popești-Leordeni	13	8	3	2	+9	27
5	Concordia	13	8	1	4	+14	25
6	CSM Reşiţa	13	8	1	4	+4	25
7	Metalul Buzău	13	7	3	3	+6	24
8	Cetatea Suceava	13	6	4	3	+8	22
9	Metaloglobus	13	6	3	4	+2	21
10	CSM Ramnicu Valcea	13	6	2	5	-1	20
11	FC Bacau	13	5	4	4	+9	19
12	Bihor Oradea	13	5	4	4	+7	19
13	CS Afumati	13	5	3	5	-1	18
14	Gloria Bistriţa	13	6	0	7	-2	18
15	Unirea Slobozia	13	4	2	7	+2	14
16	CSA Steaua Bucureşti	13	2	5	6	-7	11
17	ASA Targu Mures	13	3	2	8	-13	11
18	CSM Satu Mare	13	1	6	6	-8	9
19	Viitorul Şelimbăr	13	2	3	8	-16	9
20	Ştefăneşti	13	3	0	10	-20	9
21	CS Dinamo București	13	2	2	9	-17	8
22	Dumbrăviţa	13	0	4	9	-17	4

Team

Pts

Chindia Targoviste

+19

FC Politehnica Timisoara

+13

+14

-1

-1

-2

-7

-13

-8

-16

-20

-17

-17

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for CSM Satu Mare vs Dumbrăviţa?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win CSM Satu Mare vs Dumbrăviţa?

On our numbers CSM Satu Mare have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Dumbrăviţa 30%.

How many goals will there be in CSM Satu Mare vs Dumbrăviţa?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for CSM Satu Mare vs Dumbrăviţa?

Our predicted score is CSM Satu Mare 1–1 Dumbrăviţa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is CSM Satu Mare vs Dumbrăviţa?

CSM Satu Mare vs Dumbrăviţa (Liga II) kicks off on Saturday 4 April 2026 at 09:00 (West Africa Time) at Daniel Prodan Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

CSM Satu Mare v Dumbrăviţa: numbers & prediction