Value bet: Metalul Buzău to win @ 4.00 – our chance 30% vs 25% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultASA Targu Mures to win ✗45% · @1.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.95
ASA Targu Mures vs Metalul Buzău: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Metalul Buzău travel to face ASA Targu Mures on Saturday 4 April in the Liga II, with Stadionul Trans-Sil the venue – the ball rolls at 09:00 WAT. In the table, ASA Targu Mures are 17th, lower half, on 11 points after 13 matches; Metalul Buzău are 7th (upper half) with 24. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
ASA Targu Mures, last 5: WDLWL Their latest outing: 6–1 win over Muscelul Câmpulung Elite, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.6 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Metalul Buzău, last 5: WWLLL Their latest outing: 4–2 win over CS Dinamo București, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (28 Feb 2026) it ended ASA Targu Mures 1–0 Metalul Buzău.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give ASA Targu Mures 1.4 xG, Metalul Buzău 1.4 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 61%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – ASA Targu Mures 45%, draw 25%, Metalul Buzău 30%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.70.
Price worth noting: Metalul Buzău to win @4.00 – the bookmaker implies 25%, our ratings say 30%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: ASA Targu Mures 1–1 Metalul Buzău. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
ASA Targu Mures45%fair 2.21 · @1.80
Draw25%fair 4.04 · @3.35
Metalul Buzău30%fair 3.34 · @4.00
2.73Expected goals
1.38ASA Targu Mures xG
1.35Metalul Buzău xG
61%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–09%
0–19%
2–18%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: ASA Targu Mures 1.4 – 1.4 Metalul Buzău expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for ASA Targu Mures vs Metalul Buzău?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win ASA Targu Mures vs Metalul Buzău?
On our numbers ASA Targu Mures have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Metalul Buzău 30%.
How many goals will there be in ASA Targu Mures vs Metalul Buzău?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for ASA Targu Mures vs Metalul Buzău?
Our predicted score is ASA Targu Mures 1–1 Metalul Buzău, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is ASA Targu Mures vs Metalul Buzău?
ASA Targu Mures vs Metalul Buzău (Liga II) kicks off on Saturday 4 April 2026 at 09:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadionul Trans-Sil.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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