ASA v Confiança Prediction & Expected Goals (15 Apr) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultASA to win49% · @2.20

Double chanceASA or draw76% · @1.25

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score52% · @1.93

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals79% · @1.18

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 10.99

ASA vs Confiança: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Wednesday 15 April the Copa Do Nordeste brings ASA against Confiança. Kick-off: 23:30 WAT.

Current form

ASA, last 5: WLWWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over CRB, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 2 lost from 5. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Confiança, last 5: WWLWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over AO Itabaiana, away. Goals for and against: 1.4 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give ASA 1.5 xG, Confiança 0.8 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 52%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – ASA 49%, draw 27%, Confiança 24%.
Lower-risk option: ASA or draw (76%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.93.
Price worth noting: ASA to win @2.20 – the bookmaker implies 45%, our ratings say 49%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was ASA or draw (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: ASA 1–0 Confiança. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

ASA49%fair 2.03 · @2.20

Draw27%fair 3.73 · @2.90

Confiança24%fair 4.16 · @3.35

2.32Expected goals

1.55ASA xG

0.78Confiança xG

52%Both score

40%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–015%

1–112%

2–012%

0–010%

2–19%

0–18%

From our goals model: ASA 1.5 – 0.8 Confiança expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	ASA to win	49%	2.03	2.20 ▲
Double chance	ASA or draw	76%	1.32	1.25
Both teams to score	Both teams to score	52%	1.94	1.93
Draw no bet	ASA (draw no bet)	67%	1.49	–
Asian handicap	Confiança +1 (Asian handicap)	60%	1.66	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals	66%	1.52	1.45
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals	60%	1.68	1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals	79%	1.27	1.18
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals	91%	1.09	–
First team to score	ASA to score first	60%	1.67	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time	45%	2.23	–
Half-time / full-time	HT ASA / FT ASA	34%	2.97	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1	9%	10.99	–

ASA – last 6

WLWWWL

9 Apr	vs CRB	2–0	W
2 Apr	vs CSA	2–3	L
24 Mar	vs Piauí	1–0	W
18 Mar	vs Miguelense	6–0	W
2 Mar	@ Penedense	1–0	W
26 Feb	vs Operario Ferroviario	1–2	L

2.2Scored / game

0.8Conceded / game

33%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

Confiança – last 5

WWLWL

9 Apr	@ AO Itabaiana	1–0	W
29 Mar	vs Fluminense PI	2–0	W
26 Mar	@ Sousa	1–4	L
12 Mar	vs Tombense	2–0	W
26 Feb	vs AO Itabaiana	1–2	L

1.4Scored / game

1.2Conceded / game

40%Both scored

40%Over 2.5

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for ASA vs Confiança?

Our pick is ASA or draw with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win ASA vs Confiança?

On our numbers ASA have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Confiança 24%.

How many goals will there be in ASA vs Confiança?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for ASA vs Confiança?

Our predicted score is ASA 1–0 Confiança, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is ASA vs Confiança?

ASA vs Confiança (Copa Do Nordeste) kicks off on Wednesday 15 April 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

ASA v Confiança: numbers & prediction

ASA

Confiança

ASA or draw