Hamrun Spartans vs Naxxar Lions: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Hamrun Spartans welcome Naxxar Lions for a Premier League fixture on Sunday 19 April (16:30 WAT).
Current form
Hamrun Spartans, last 5: LLWDD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Gzira United, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Naxxar Lions, last 5: DDDDD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Valletta FC, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Hamrun Spartans 1.7 xG, Naxxar Lions 1.0 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 55%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Hamrun Spartans 59%, draw 22%, Naxxar Lions 19%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.80.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (67%, odds 1.48). Most likely score in line with that pick: Hamrun Spartans 1–1 Naxxar Lions. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Hamrun Spartans59%fair 1.70 · @1.36
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @4.33
Naxxar Lions19%fair 5.30 · @7.00
2.71Expected goals
1.67Hamrun Spartans xG
1.03Naxxar Lions xG
55%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–011%
2–110%
2–09%
0–17%
0–07%
From our goals model: Hamrun Spartans 1.7 – 1.0 Naxxar Lions expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Hamrun Spartans to win
59%
1.70
1.36
Double chance
Hamrun Spartans or draw
81%
1.23
1.04
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
55%
1.81
1.80
Draw no bet
Hamrun Spartans (draw no bet)
76%
1.32
–
Asian handicap
Naxxar Lions +1 (Asian handicap)
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
77%
1.30
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
54%
1.85
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
67%
1.49
1.48
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
86%
1.16
–
First team to score
Hamrun Spartans to score first
58%
1.73
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
41%
2.41
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Hamrun Spartans / FT Hamrun Spartans
32%
3.13
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
10%
10.36
–
Recent results
Hamrun Spartans – last 6
LLWDDW
15 Apr
vs Gzira United
0–1
L
15 Mar
@ Mosta
1–2
L
8 Mar
vs Birkirkara
3–0
W
4 Mar
@ Valletta FC
1–1
D
1 Mar
vs Floriana
1–1
D
23 Feb
vs Marsaxlokk
2–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Naxxar Lions – last 6
DDDDDW
15 Apr
vs Valletta FC
1–1
D
4 Apr
@ Gzira United
1–1
D
8 Mar
@ Marsaxlokk
1–1
D
4 Mar
@ Zurrieq
1–1
D
1 Mar
vs Birkirkara
0–0
D
21 Feb
@ Tarxien Rainbows
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hamrun Spartans and Naxxar Lions.
What is the prediction for Hamrun Spartans vs Naxxar Lions?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Hamrun Spartans vs Naxxar Lions?
On our numbers Hamrun Spartans have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Naxxar Lions 19%.
How many goals will there be in Hamrun Spartans vs Naxxar Lions?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hamrun Spartans vs Naxxar Lions?
Our predicted score is Hamrun Spartans 1–1 Naxxar Lions, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Hamrun Spartans vs Naxxar Lions?
Hamrun Spartans vs Naxxar Lions (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Tarxien Rainbows3