Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 53% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultVelež to win ✓59% · @1.36
Double chanceVelež or draw ✓82% · @1.02
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @2.10
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.36
Velež vs Sloga Doboj: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Velež welcome Sloga Doboj to Stadion Rodjeni for a Cup fixture on Wednesday 8 April (17:45 WAT).
Current form
Velež, last 5: LWWWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Zrinjski, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Sloga Doboj, last 5: LLWLL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Rudar Prijedor, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.4 goals a game.
Momentum favours Velež, collecting 2.5 points per game to 0.6 for Sloga Doboj.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Velež 1.7 xG, Sloga Doboj 0.9 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Velež 59%, draw 23%, Sloga Doboj 18%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.10.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 53%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Velež 1–1 Sloga Doboj. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Velež59%fair 1.69 · @1.36
Draw23%fair 4.35 · @4.20
Sloga Doboj18%fair 5.64 · @7.80
2.59Expected goals
1.70Velež xG
0.89Sloga Doboj xG
53%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
1–111%
2–011%
2–110%
0–07%
0–17%
From our goals model: Velež 1.7 – 0.9 Sloga Doboj expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Velež to win✓
59%
1.69
1.36
Double chance
Velež or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.02
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.88
2.10 ▲
Draw no bet
Velež (draw no bet)✓
77%
1.30
–
Asian handicap
Sloga Doboj +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
69%
1.46
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.96
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
72%
1.38
1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
First team to score
Velež to score first
61%
1.65
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.38
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Velež / FT Velež✓
35%
2.87
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.36
–
Recent results
Velež – last 6
LWWWWW
3 Apr
vs Zrinjski
0–1
L
15 Mar
@ Rudar Prijedor
2–1
W
11 Mar
vs FK Sarajevo
4–1
W
6 Mar
vs Posušje
1–0
W
25 Feb
@ FK Sarajevo
1–0
W
21 Feb
vs Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Sloga Doboj – last 5
LLWLL
3 Apr
@ Rudar Prijedor
1–3
L
1 Mar
@ Siroki Brijeg
0–1
L
25 Feb
@ Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
1–0
W
20 Feb
vs Borac Banja Luka
0–4
L
15 Feb
vs FK Sarajevo
0–1
L
0.4Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
20%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Velež and Sloga Doboj.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Velež vs Sloga Doboj?
On our numbers Velež have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Sloga Doboj 18%.
How many goals will there be in Velež vs Sloga Doboj?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Velež vs Sloga Doboj?
Our predicted score is Velež 1–1 Sloga Doboj, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Velež vs Sloga Doboj?
Velež vs Sloga Doboj (Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 8 April 2026 at 17:45 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Rodjeni.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Radnik Bijeljina0
Zrinjski0