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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Sloga Doboj v Velež: numbers & prediction

Cup · Bosnia · Stadion Luke
0–3
FT

Velež

WLWWW
Sloga Doboj 31%Draw 28%Velež 41% Expected goals 1.16 – 1.35
69%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.46 · bookmaker 1.42 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.42Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.95 – our chance 58% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultVelež to win ✓41% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓72% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.63

Sloga Doboj vs Velež: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Velež travel to face Sloga Doboj on Wednesday 15 April in the Cup, with Stadion Luke the venue – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT.

Current form

Sloga Doboj, last 5: LLLWL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Velež, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

Velež, last 5: WLWWW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Sloga Doboj, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Velež, collecting 2.5 points per game to 0.5 for Sloga Doboj.

Head to head

When they last met (8 Apr 2026) it ended Velež 3–1 Sloga Doboj.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Sloga Doboj 1.2 xG, Velež 1.4 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 58%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Sloga Doboj 31%, draw 28%, Velež 41%.
  • GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.95.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 58%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (69%, odds 1.42). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sloga Doboj 1–1 Velež. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Sloga Doboj31%fair 3.18 · @2.95
Draw28%fair 3.60 · @3.10
Velež41%fair 2.45 · @2.30
2.52Expected goals
1.16Sloga Doboj xG
1.35Velež xG
58%Both score
43%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
0–111%
1–09%
1–29%
0–08%
2–17%

From our goals model: Sloga Doboj 1.2 – 1.4 Velež expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultVelež to win ✓41%2.452.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓72%1.381.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗58%1.741.95 ▲
Draw no betVelež (draw no bet) ✓56%1.77–
Asian handicapSloga Doboj +1 (Asian handicap) ✗76%1.32–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓69%1.461.42
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗57%1.761.57
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77%1.301.18
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓89%1.13–
First team to scoreVelež to score first ✓49%2.02–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗44%2.28–
Half-time / full-timeHT Velež / FT Velež ✓24%4.18–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.63–

Recent results

Sloga Doboj – last 6

LLLWLL
8 Apr@ Velež1–3L
3 Apr@ Rudar Prijedor1–3L
1 Mar@ Siroki Brijeg0–1L
25 Feb@ Zeljeznicar Sarajevo1–0W
20 Febvs Borac Banja Luka0–4L
15 Febvs FK Sarajevo0–1L
0.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Velež – last 6

WLWWWW
8 Aprvs Sloga Doboj3–1W
3 Aprvs Zrinjski0–1L
15 Mar@ Rudar Prijedor2–1W
11 Marvs FK Sarajevo4–1W
6 Marvs Posušje1–0W
25 Feb@ FK Sarajevo1–0W
1.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

8 Apr 2026Velež v Sloga Doboj3–1
Sloga Doboj vs Velež head-to-head page →

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sloga Doboj vs Velež?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.

Who will win Sloga Doboj vs Velež?

On our numbers Sloga Doboj have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Velež 41%.

How many goals will there be in Sloga Doboj vs Velež?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Sloga Doboj vs Velež?

Our predicted score is Sloga Doboj 1–1 Velež, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Sloga Doboj vs Velež?

Sloga Doboj vs Velež (Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 15 April 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Luke.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.