Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · fair 1.97
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.33
Al-Qasim vs Naft: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Naft travel to face Al-Qasim on Wednesday 25 March in the Iraqi League – the ball rolls at 13:30 WAT.
Current form
Al-Qasim, last 3: LLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Newroz, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Naft, last 5: WDLWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Al Kahrabaa, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Naft, collecting 1.4 points per game to 0.0 for Al-Qasim.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Al-Qasim 1.3 xG, Naft 1.3 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Al-Qasim 54%, draw 20%, Naft 26%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (54%, odds 1.60). Most likely score in line with that pick: Al-Qasim 1–2 Naft. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Al-Qasim54%fair 1.86 · @1.17
Draw20%fair 4.95 · @6.25
Naft26%fair 3.85 · @13.00
2.62Expected goals
1.30Al-Qasim xG
1.32Naft xG
51%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–110%
1–09%
1–28%
2–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Al-Qasim 1.3 – 1.3 Naft expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Al-Qasim to win✗
54%
1.86
1.17
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.25
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.97
–
Draw no bet
Al-Qasim (draw no bet)✗
67%
1.48
–
Asian handicap
Al-Qasim +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
63%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.86
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.14
–
First team to score
Naft to score first✓
47%
2.14
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Naft / FT Naft✓
22%
4.63
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.33
–
Recent results
Al-Qasim – last 3
LLL
19 Mar
@ Newroz
1–2
L
6 Mar
@ Al Talaba
0–2
L
14 Feb
@ Naft Maysan
1–2
L
0.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Naft – last 5
WDLWL
17 Mar
@ Al Kahrabaa
2–1
W
13 Mar
vs Al Najaf
1–1
D
6 Mar
vs Al Karkh
0–1
L
1 Mar
@ Baghdad
2–1
W
22 Feb
@ Zakho
0–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
60%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Al-Qasim and Naft.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Al-Qasim vs Naft?
On our numbers Al-Qasim have a 54% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Naft 26%.
How many goals will there be in Al-Qasim vs Naft?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al-Qasim vs Naft?
Our predicted score is Al-Qasim 1–2 Naft, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Al-Qasim vs Naft?
Al-Qasim vs Naft (Iraqi League) kicks off on Wednesday 25 March 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
