Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Picks by market
ResultNewroz to win ✓52% · @1.95
Double chanceNewroz or draw ✓81% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗57% · fair 1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.69
Newroz vs Gharraf: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Gharraf travel to face Newroz on Wednesday 25 March in the Iraqi League – the ball rolls at 13:30 WAT. In the table, Newroz are 2nd, among the top four, on 26 points after 13 matches; Gharraf are 13th (lower half) with 14. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Newroz, last 4: WWWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Al-Qasim, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Gharraf, last 5: LLLLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Al Zawra'a, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Newroz, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.0 for Gharraf.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Newroz 1.4 xG, Gharraf 0.7 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 64% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Newroz 52%, draw 29%, Gharraf 19%.
Lower-risk option: Newroz or draw (81%) at 1.22.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Newroz or draw (81%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Newroz 1–0 Gharraf. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Newroz52%fair 1.91 · @1.95
Draw29%fair 3.44 · @3.10
Gharraf19%fair 5.35 · @3.60
2.07Expected goals
1.39Newroz xG
0.68Gharraf xG
43%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–018%
0–013%
2–012%
1–112%
0–19%
2–18%
From our goals model: Newroz 1.4 – 0.7 Gharraf expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Newroz to win✓
52%
1.91
1.95
Double chance
Newroz or draw✓
81%
1.23
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
57%
1.75
–
Draw no bet
Newroz (draw no bet)✓
74%
1.36
–
Asian handicap
Gharraf +1 (Asian handicap)
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
64%
1.56
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
84%
1.18
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
94%
1.06
–
First team to score
Newroz to score first✓
59%
1.70
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
48%
2.09
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Newroz / FT Newroz✓
32%
3.10
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
18%
5.69
–
Recent results
Newroz – last 4
WWWL
19 Mar
vs Al-Qasim
2–1
W
12 Mar
@ Baghdad
2–0
W
20 Feb
vs Al Najaf
2–0
W
13 Feb
@ Al Quwa Al Jawiya
1–2
L
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Gharraf – last 6
LLLLWW
17 Mar
vs Al Zawra'a
0–1
L
12 Mar
@ Al-Karma
0–3
L
6 Mar
vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya
1–2
L
26 Feb
@ Zakho
0–2
L
20 Feb
vs Duhok
4–3
W
13 Feb
@ Al Minaa Basra
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Newroz and Gharraf.
Our pick is Newroz or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Newroz vs Gharraf?
On our numbers Newroz have a 52% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Gharraf 19%.
How many goals will there be in Newroz vs Gharraf?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Newroz vs Gharraf?
Our predicted score is Newroz 1–0 Gharraf, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Newroz vs Gharraf?
Newroz vs Gharraf (Iraqi League) kicks off on Wednesday 25 March 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Al-Qasim0