Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · fair 1.90
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.79
Naft Maysan vs Erbil: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Erbil travel to face Naft Maysan on Friday 27 March in the Iraqi League – the ball rolls at 13:30 WAT. In the table, Naft Maysan are 19th, in the drop zone, on 9 points after 13 matches; Erbil are 7th (upper half) with 20.
Current form
Naft Maysan, last 4: DDWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Al Karkh, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Erbil, last 3: WWL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Diyala, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Naft Maysan 0.9 xG, Erbil 1.7 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 47%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Naft Maysan 19%, draw 25%, Erbil 56%.
Lower-risk option: Erbil or draw (81%) at 1.17.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Erbil to win (56%, odds 1.75). Most likely score in line with that pick: Naft Maysan 0–1 Erbil. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Naft Maysan19%fair 5.34 · @4.20
Draw25%fair 3.93 · @3.30
Erbil56%fair 1.79 · @1.75
2.58Expected goals
0.89Naft Maysan xG
1.69Erbil xG
47%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–113%
1–111%
0–211%
1–210%
0–08%
1–07%
From our goals model: Naft Maysan 0.9 – 1.7 Erbil expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Erbil to win✗
56%
1.79
1.75
Double chance
Erbil or draw✓
81%
1.23
1.17
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
53%
1.90
–
Draw no bet
Erbil (draw no bet)
75%
1.34
–
Asian handicap
Naft Maysan +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.83
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
First team to score
Erbil to score first✗
61%
1.65
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.37
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Erbil / FT Erbil✗
35%
2.89
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
13%
7.79
–
Recent results
Naft Maysan – last 4
DDWW
18 Mar
@ Al Karkh
1–1
D
13 Mar
@ Al Zawra'a
1–1
D
6 Mar
vs Baghdad
2–1
W
14 Feb
vs Al-Qasim
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Erbil – last 3
WWL
23 Mar
vs Diyala
2–0
W
18 Mar
@ Duhok
2–0
W
14 Feb
vs Zakho
0–1
L
1.3Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Naft Maysan and Erbil.
Our pick is Erbil to win with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Naft Maysan vs Erbil?
On our numbers Naft Maysan have a 19% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Erbil 56%.
How many goals will there be in Naft Maysan vs Erbil?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Naft Maysan vs Erbil?
Our predicted score is Naft Maysan 0–1 Erbil, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Naft Maysan vs Erbil?
Naft Maysan vs Erbil (Iraqi League) kicks off on Friday 27 March 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Al Najaf2