Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.44Odds
Picks by market
ResultDiyala to win ✗56% · @1.70
Double chanceDiyala or draw ✗82% · fair 1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · fair 1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.01
Diyala vs Al Najaf: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Diyala welcome Al Najaf for a Iraqi League fixture on Friday 27 March (13:30 WAT).
Current form
Diyala, last 3: LDL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Erbil, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Al Najaf, last 4: LDLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Mosul, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Diyala 1.6 xG, Al Najaf 0.8 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 46%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Diyala 56%, draw 26%, Al Najaf 18%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (61%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Diyala 1–0 Al Najaf. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Diyala56%fair 1.80 · @1.70
Draw26%fair 3.83 · @3.10
Al Najaf18%fair 5.46 · @5.00
2.40Expected goals
1.57Diyala xG
0.83Al Najaf xG
46%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–112%
2–011%
2–19%
0–09%
0–18%
From our goals model: Diyala 1.6 – 0.8 Al Najaf expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Diyala to win✗
56%
1.80
1.70
Double chance
Diyala or draw✗
82%
1.22
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
54%
1.85
–
Draw no bet
Diyala (draw no bet)✗
75%
1.33
–
Asian handicap
Al Najaf +1 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
61%
1.64
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
Diyala to score first✗
59%
1.68
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Diyala / FT Diyala✗
33%
3.02
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.01
–
Recent results
Diyala – last 3
LDL
23 Mar
@ Erbil
0–2
L
18 Mar
@ Al Minaa Basra
1–1
D
13 Mar
vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya
0–1
L
0.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Al Najaf – last 4
LDLL
17 Mar
vs Mosul
1–2
L
13 Mar
@ Naft
1–1
D
6 Mar
vs Al Minaa Basra
0–1
L
20 Feb
@ Newroz
0–2
L
0.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Diyala and Al Najaf.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Diyala vs Al Najaf?
On our numbers Diyala have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Al Najaf 18%.
How many goals will there be in Diyala vs Al Najaf?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Diyala vs Al Najaf?
Our predicted score is Diyala 1–0 Al Najaf, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Diyala vs Al Najaf?
Diyala vs Al Najaf (Iraqi League) kicks off on Friday 27 March 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
