Liverpool 38%Draw 22%Paris Saint Germain 40%Expected goals 1.67 – 1.80
67%
Betarazi pick
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.42 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.42Odds
Picks by market
ResultParis Saint Germain to win ✓40% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗66% · @1.40
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗67% · @1.42
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.87
Liverpool vs Paris Saint Germain: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
20:00 WAT, Tuesday 14 April: Liverpool v Paris Saint Germain in the UEFA Champions League, played at Anfield. In the table, Liverpool are 8th, upper half, on 9 points after 4 matches; Paris Saint Germain are 1st (leading the league) with 12. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Liverpool, last 5: LLWDL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Paris Saint Germain, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Paris Saint Germain, last 5: WWWWL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Liverpool, at home. The attack is flying at 2.7 goals per game.
Momentum favours Paris Saint Germain, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.2 for Liverpool.
Head to head
When they last met (8 Apr 2026) it ended Paris Saint Germain 2–0 Liverpool.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Liverpool 1.7 xG, Paris Saint Germain 1.8 xG – a total near 3.5. That is an open game on paper: 67% for three or more goals, 66% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Liverpool 38%, draw 22%, Paris Saint Germain 40%.
GG/NG: GG (66%) at 1.40.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (67%, odds 1.42). Most likely score in line with that pick: Liverpool 1–2 Paris Saint Germain. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Liverpool38%fair 2.65 · @2.36
Draw22%fair 4.59 · @4.10
Paris Saint Germain40%fair 2.47 · @2.50
3.47Expected goals
1.67Liverpool xG
1.80Paris Saint Germain xG
66%Both score
67%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–19%
1–28%
2–18%
2–27%
0–16%
1–05%
From our goals model: Liverpool 1.7 – 1.8 Paris Saint Germain expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Liverpool vs Paris Saint Germain?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.
Who will win Liverpool vs Paris Saint Germain?
On our numbers Liverpool have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Paris Saint Germain 40%.
How many goals will there be in Liverpool vs Paris Saint Germain?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Liverpool vs Paris Saint Germain?
Our predicted score is Liverpool 1–2 Paris Saint Germain, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Liverpool vs Paris Saint Germain?
Liverpool vs Paris Saint Germain (UEFA Champions League) kicks off on Tuesday 14 April 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Anfield.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
