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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Bouchamma v Stade Gabesien: numbers & prediction

Ligue 2 · Tunisia
1–2
FT
Bouchamma 37%Draw 27%Stade Gabesien 36% Expected goals 1.16 – 1.15
62%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.44Odds

Picks by market

ResultBouchamma to win ✗37% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · fair 1.87
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 8.71

Bouchamma vs Stade Gabesien: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

14:30 WAT, Sunday 29 March: Bouchamma v Stade Gabesien in the Ligue 2. In the table, Bouchamma are 6th, upper half, on 13 points after 7 matches; Stade Gabesien are 17th (lower half) with 8.

Current form

Bouchamma, last 3: DLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Djelma, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Stade Gabesien, last 4: WLLW Their latest outing: 4–1 win over AS Agareb, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Bouchamma 1.2 xG, Stade Gabesien 1.2 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 38%, GG 47%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Bouchamma 37%, draw 27%, Stade Gabesien 36%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (62%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bouchamma 1–1 Stade Gabesien. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Bouchamma37%fair 2.72 · @2.40
Draw27%fair 3.66 · @3.00
Stade Gabesien36%fair 2.79 · @2.75
2.32Expected goals
1.16Bouchamma xG
1.15Stade Gabesien xG
47%Both score
38%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–011%
0–111%
0–010%
2–18%
1–28%

From our goals model: Bouchamma 1.2 – 1.2 Stade Gabesien expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBouchamma to win ✗37%2.722.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73%1.381.30
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗53%1.87–
Draw no betBouchamma (draw no bet) ✗51%1.97–
Asian handicapStade Gabesien +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓64%1.57–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓67%1.49–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗62%1.621.44
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80%1.26–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓91%1.09–
First team to scoreBouchamma to score first ✗45%2.21–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗46%2.17–
Half-time / full-timeHT Bouchamma / FT Bouchamma ✗20%4.89–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11%8.71–

Recent results

Bouchamma – last 3

DLW
27 Feb@ Djelma1–1D
21 Febvs Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer1–4L
15 Feb@ AS Kasserine1–0W
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Stade Gabesien – last 4

WLLW
23 Mar@ AS Agareb4–1W
27 Febvs EO Sidi Bouzid0–1L
21 Feb@ Ariana1–2L
15 Febvs Jendouba Sport2–0W
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Bouchamma and Stade Gabesien.

Bouchamma vs Stade Gabesien head-to-head page →

Ligue 2 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1AS Kasserine7601+718
2EM Mahdia7520+717
3Ksour Essef6420+614
4M'saken7421+514
5CS Chebba7412+113
6Bouchamma7412-213
7AS Soliman7331+512
8Korba7331+412
9Jendouba Sport7331+212
10Mégrine7322+111
11JS Kairouanaise7322+111
12US Tataouine7322-111
13Kalaâ Sport7313+110
14Stade Soussien7313+110
15Sporting Ben Arous7232+29
16Ariana722308
17Stade Gabesien715108
18Sfax Railways715108
19EGS Gafsa7214-27
20AS Agareb7142-37
21Redeyef6204+26
22Kerkennah7133-26
23Olympique du Kef7124-35
24Béni-Khalled7124-45
25CO Medenine7124-75
26BS Bouhajla7124-75
27AS Gabes7025-52
28Moknine7025-92

More Ligue 2 predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Bouchamma vs Stade Gabesien?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win Bouchamma vs Stade Gabesien?

On our numbers Bouchamma have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Stade Gabesien 36%.

How many goals will there be in Bouchamma vs Stade Gabesien?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Bouchamma vs Stade Gabesien?

Our predicted score is Bouchamma 1–1 Stade Gabesien, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Bouchamma vs Stade Gabesien?

Bouchamma vs Stade Gabesien (Ligue 2) kicks off on Sunday 29 March 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.