EM Mahdia 36%Draw 28%Sfax Railways 36%Expected goals 1.14 – 1.04
64%
Betarazi pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
Picks by market
ResultEM Mahdia to win ✗36% · @2.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✗72% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · fair 1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.78
EM Mahdia vs Sfax Railways: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
EM Mahdia welcome Sfax Railways for a Ligue 2 fixture on Sunday 29 March (14:30 WAT). In the table, EM Mahdia are 2nd, among the top four, on 17 points after 7 matches; Sfax Railways are 18th (lower half) with 8.
Current form
EM Mahdia, last 4: LLDD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Ajim Djerba, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.0 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Sfax Railways, last 4: LWWW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Jendouba Sport, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Sfax Railways, collecting 2.3 points per game to 0.5 for EM Mahdia.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give EM Mahdia 1.1 xG, Sfax Railways 1.0 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 64%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – EM Mahdia 36%, draw 28%, Sfax Railways 36%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (64%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: EM Mahdia 1–1 Sfax Railways. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
EM Mahdia36%fair 2.75 · @2.70
Draw28%fair 3.63 · @3.00
Sfax Railways36%fair 2.77 · @2.45
2.18Expected goals
1.14EM Mahdia xG
1.04Sfax Railways xG
46%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–013%
0–112%
0–011%
2–18%
2–07%
From our goals model: EM Mahdia 1.1 – 1.0 Sfax Railways expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
EM Mahdia to win✗
36%
2.75
2.70
Double chance
Either team to win✗
72%
1.38
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
54%
1.85
–
Draw no bet
EM Mahdia (draw no bet)
50%
2.00
–
Asian handicap
Sfax Railways +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.08
–
First team to score
EM Mahdia to score first✗
46%
2.16
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.10
–
Half-time / full-time
HT EM Mahdia / FT EM Mahdia✗
21%
4.67
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.78
–
Recent results
EM Mahdia – last 4
LLDD
23 Mar
@ Ajim Djerba
0–2
L
27 Feb
@ M'saken
0–2
L
22 Feb
vs Bouselem
0–0
D
16 Feb
@ BS Bouhajla
0–0
D
0.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Sfax Railways – last 4
LWWW
22 Mar
@ Jendouba Sport
0–2
L
28 Feb
vs CS Hammam-Lif
1–0
W
22 Feb
@ Kerkennah
2–1
W
16 Feb
vs Menzel Bourguiba
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between EM Mahdia and Sfax Railways.
What is the prediction for EM Mahdia vs Sfax Railways?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win EM Mahdia vs Sfax Railways?
On our numbers EM Mahdia have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Sfax Railways 36%.
How many goals will there be in EM Mahdia vs Sfax Railways?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for EM Mahdia vs Sfax Railways?
Our predicted score is EM Mahdia 1–1 Sfax Railways, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is EM Mahdia vs Sfax Railways?
EM Mahdia vs Sfax Railways (Ligue 2) kicks off on Sunday 29 March 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
ES Hammam-Sousse2
CS Hammam-Lif1