Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.48 · Lost ✗
7/10Rating
1.48Odds
Picks by market
ResultOlancho to win ✓59% · @1.48
Double chanceOlancho or draw ✓83% · @1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.25
Olancho vs Atlético Choloma: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 5 April the Liga Nacional brings Olancho against Atlético Choloma at Estadio Juan Ramon Breve Vargas. Kick-off: 02:30 WAT. In the table, Olancho are 7th, lower half, on 18 points after 14 matches; Atlético Choloma are 9th (lower half) with 14.
Current form
Olancho, last 5: LDWDW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Lobos Upnfm, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Atlético Choloma, last 5: WLWDD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Platense FC, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Olancho 1.8 xG, Atlético Choloma 0.9 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Olancho 59%, draw 25%, Atlético Choloma 17%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.67.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (68%, odds 1.48). Most likely score in line with that pick: Olancho 1–0 Atlético Choloma. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Olancho59%fair 1.70 · @1.48
Draw25%fair 4.06 · @4.00
Atlético Choloma17%fair 6.00 · @5.60
2.66Expected goals
1.76Olancho xG
0.90Atlético Choloma xG
57%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
1–111%
2–011%
2–110%
0–07%
3–06%
From our goals model: Olancho 1.8 – 0.9 Atlético Choloma expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Olancho to win✓
59%
1.70
1.48
Double chance
Olancho or draw✓
83%
1.20
1.08
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.77
1.67
Draw no bet
Olancho (draw no bet)✓
78%
1.28
–
Asian handicap
Atlético Choloma +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
68%
1.48
1.48
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
First team to score
Olancho to score first
62%
1.62
–
Half-time result
Olancho ahead at half-time✓
41%
2.41
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Olancho / FT Olancho✓
36%
2.78
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.25
–
Recent results
Olancho – last 6
LDWDWD
24 Mar
@ Lobos Upnfm
1–2
L
19 Mar
@ CD Olimpia
0–0
D
15 Mar
vs Real Espana
3–0
W
11 Mar
@ Génesis
0–0
D
8 Mar
vs Platense FC
2–1
W
2 Mar
@ CD Motagua
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Atlético Choloma – last 6
WLWDDL
2 Apr
vs Platense FC
1–0
W
25 Mar
vs Génesis
1–2
L
21 Mar
@ Lobos Upnfm
2–1
W
15 Mar
vs Juticalpa
1–1
D
11 Mar
vs CD Marathon
0–0
D
8 Mar
vs CD Motagua
1–3
L
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Olancho and Atlético Choloma.
What is the prediction for Olancho vs Atlético Choloma?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Olancho vs Atlético Choloma?
On our numbers Olancho have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Atlético Choloma 17%.
How many goals will there be in Olancho vs Atlético Choloma?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Olancho vs Atlético Choloma?
Our predicted score is Olancho 1–0 Atlético Choloma, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Olancho vs Atlético Choloma?
Olancho vs Atlético Choloma (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 02:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Juan Ramon Breve Vargas.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
