Platense FC 17%Draw 24%CD Marathon 58%Expected goals 0.93 – 1.89
83%
Betarazi pick
CD Marathon or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.22
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
Picks by market
ResultCD Marathon to win58% · @1.80
Double chanceCD Marathon or draw83% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score55% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals74% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–210% · fair 10.10
Platense FC vs CD Marathon: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
22:00 WAT, Sunday 5 April: Platense FC v CD Marathon in the Liga Nacional, played at Estadio Excelsior. In the table, Platense FC are 11th, in the drop zone, on 8 points after 14 matches; CD Marathon are 3rd (among the top four) with 28. There are 20 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Platense FC, last 5: LLWLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Atlético Choloma, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
CD Marathon, last 5: LWDLD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Real Espana, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (13 Feb 2026) it ended CD Marathon 2–2 Platense FC.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Platense FC 0.9 xG, CD Marathon 1.9 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Platense FC 17%, draw 24%, CD Marathon 58%.
Lower-risk option: CD Marathon or draw (83%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.80.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was CD Marathon or draw (83%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Platense FC 0–1 CD Marathon. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Platense FC17%fair 5.77 · @4.00
Draw24%fair 4.10 · @3.35
CD Marathon58%fair 1.72 · @1.80
2.82Expected goals
0.93Platense FC xG
1.89CD Marathon xG
55%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–111%
0–211%
1–110%
1–210%
0–37%
1–36%
From our goals model: Platense FC 0.9 – 1.9 CD Marathon expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Platense FC vs CD Marathon?
Our pick is CD Marathon or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Platense FC vs CD Marathon?
On our numbers Platense FC have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 24% and CD Marathon 58%.
How many goals will there be in Platense FC vs CD Marathon?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Platense FC vs CD Marathon?
Our predicted score is Platense FC 0–1 CD Marathon, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Platense FC vs CD Marathon?
Platense FC vs CD Marathon (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Excelsior.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.