CD Motagua 64%Draw 22%Génesis 14%Expected goals 1.92 – 0.83
67%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.48 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.48Odds
Picks by market
ResultCD Motagua to win ✓64% · @1.35
Double chanceCD Motagua or draw ✓86% · @1.04
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.83
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.22
CD Motagua vs Génesis: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Génesis travel to face CD Motagua on Monday 6 April in the Liga Nacional, with Estadio Nacional Jose de la Paz Herrera Ucles the venue – the ball rolls at 00:15 WAT. In the table, CD Motagua are 4th, among the top four, on 28 points after 14 matches; Génesis are 8th (lower half) with 15. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
CD Motagua, last 5: DWWWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Real Espana, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.
Génesis, last 5: LWLDL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Juticalpa, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours CD Motagua, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.2 for Génesis.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give CD Motagua 1.9 xG, Génesis 0.8 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – CD Motagua 64%, draw 22%, Génesis 14%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.83.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (67%, odds 1.48). Most likely score in line with that pick: CD Motagua 1–0 Génesis. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
CD Motagua64%fair 1.57 · @1.35
Draw22%fair 4.49 · @4.60
Génesis14%fair 7.20 · @7.00
2.75Expected goals
1.92CD Motagua xG
0.83Génesis xG
53%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–06%
From our goals model: CD Motagua 1.9 – 0.8 Génesis expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
CD Motagua to win✓
64%
1.57
1.35
Double chance
CD Motagua or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.04
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.88
1.83
Draw no bet
CD Motagua (draw no bet)✓
82%
1.22
–
Asian handicap
CD Motagua -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.83
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
67%
1.50
1.48
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
First team to score
CD Motagua to score first✓
65%
1.53
–
Half-time result
CD Motagua ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT CD Motagua / FT CD Motagua✓
40%
2.50
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.22
–
Recent results
CD Motagua – last 6
DWWWDW
23 Mar
vs Real Espana
1–1
D
19 Mar
@ Platense FC
1–0
W
12 Mar
vs Lobos Upnfm
2–0
W
8 Mar
@ Atlético Choloma
3–1
W
2 Mar
vs Olancho
1–1
D
26 Feb
@ Juticalpa
2–1
W
1.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Génesis – last 6
LWLDLW
2 Apr
vs Juticalpa
0–1
L
25 Mar
@ Atlético Choloma
2–1
W
19 Mar
@ Real Espana
1–2
L
11 Mar
vs Olancho
0–0
D
2 Mar
vs Lobos Upnfm
0–2
L
27 Feb
@ CD Marathon
2–1
W
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between CD Motagua and Génesis.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win CD Motagua vs Génesis?
On our numbers CD Motagua have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Génesis 14%.
How many goals will there be in CD Motagua vs Génesis?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for CD Motagua vs Génesis?
Our predicted score is CD Motagua 1–0 Génesis, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is CD Motagua vs Génesis?
CD Motagua vs Génesis (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Monday 6 April 2026 at 00:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Nacional Jose de la Paz Herrera Ucles.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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