Value bet: Lobos Upnfm to win @ 3.20 – our chance 37% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultVictoria to win ✓39% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.40
Victoria vs Lobos Upnfm: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Victoria welcome Lobos Upnfm for a Liga Nacional fixture on Monday 6 April (02:30 WAT).
Current form
Victoria, last 5: LLLWL Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Platense FC, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Lobos Upnfm, last 5: DWLLW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with CD Olimpia, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Lobos Upnfm, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.0 for Victoria.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Victoria 1.3 xG, Lobos Upnfm 1.4 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 57%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Victoria 39%, draw 25%, Lobos Upnfm 37%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.70.
Price worth noting: Lobos Upnfm to win @3.20 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 37%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Victoria 1–1 Lobos Upnfm. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Victoria39%fair 2.59 · @2.05
Draw25%fair 4.03 · @3.40
Lobos Upnfm37%fair 2.74 · @3.20
2.78Expected goals
1.35Victoria xG
1.43Lobos Upnfm xG
57%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–08%
2–18%
0–26%
From our goals model: Victoria 1.3 – 1.4 Lobos Upnfm expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Victoria to win✓
39%
2.59
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.76
1.70
Draw no bet
Victoria (draw no bet)✓
51%
1.94
–
Asian handicap
Victoria +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.95
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
70%
1.42
1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
85%
1.17
–
First team to score
Lobos Upnfm to score first✗
48%
2.07
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.41
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lobos Upnfm / FT Lobos Upnfm✗
23%
4.36
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.40
–
Recent results
Victoria – last 6
LLLWLW
16 Mar
vs Platense FC
2–3
L
12 Mar
@ Real Espana
1–4
L
1 Mar
@ Juticalpa
0–1
L
25 Feb
vs Olancho
2–1
W
22 Feb
@ Atlético Choloma
1–2
L
16 Feb
vs CD Olimpia
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Lobos Upnfm – last 6
DWLLWW
3 Apr
@ CD Olimpia
0–0
D
24 Mar
vs Olancho
2–1
W
21 Mar
vs Atlético Choloma
1–2
L
12 Mar
@ CD Motagua
0–2
L
9 Mar
vs Juticalpa
3–2
W
2 Mar
@ Génesis
2–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Victoria and Lobos Upnfm.
What is the prediction for Victoria vs Lobos Upnfm?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Victoria vs Lobos Upnfm?
On our numbers Victoria have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Lobos Upnfm 37%.
How many goals will there be in Victoria vs Lobos Upnfm?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Victoria vs Lobos Upnfm?
Our predicted score is Victoria 1–1 Lobos Upnfm, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Victoria vs Lobos Upnfm?
Victoria vs Lobos Upnfm (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Monday 6 April 2026 at 02:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
