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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

CD Motagua v CD Olimpia: numbers & prediction

Liga Nacional · Honduras · Estadio Nacional Jose de la Paz Herrera Ucles
0–1
FT
CD Motagua 33%Draw 27%CD Olimpia 40% Expected goals 1.18 – 1.33
74%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.35 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.28Odds

Picks by market

ResultCD Olimpia to win ✓40% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.80

CD Motagua vs CD Olimpia: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Monday 13 April the Liga Nacional brings CD Motagua against CD Olimpia at Estadio Nacional Jose de la Paz Herrera Ucles. Kick-off: 00:15 WAT. In the table, CD Motagua are 4th, among the top four, on 28 points after 14 matches; CD Olimpia are 1st (leading the league) with 33.

Current form

CD Motagua, last 5: LWDWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to CD Marathon, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.

CD Olimpia, last 5: WDWDW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Victoria, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (23 Feb 2026) it ended CD Olimpia 0–1 CD Motagua.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give CD Motagua 1.2 xG, CD Olimpia 1.3 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 58%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – CD Motagua 33%, draw 27%, CD Olimpia 40%.
  • GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.73.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: CD Motagua 1–1 CD Olimpia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

CD Motagua33%fair 3.01 · @2.65
Draw27%fair 3.67 · @3.25
CD Olimpia40%fair 2.53 · @2.40
2.51Expected goals
1.18CD Motagua xG
1.33CD Olimpia xG
58%Both score
47%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
1–28%
0–08%
2–18%

From our goals model: CD Motagua 1.2 – 1.3 CD Olimpia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCD Olimpia to win ✓40%2.532.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73%1.371.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗58%1.731.73
Draw no betCD Olimpia (draw no bet) ✓54%1.84–
Asian handicapCD Motagua +1 (Asian handicap)77%1.31–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗71%1.401.30
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓53%1.881.77
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74%1.351.28
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓89%1.12–
First team to scoreCD Olimpia to score first ✓49%2.06–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗44%2.27–
Half-time / full-timeHT CD Olimpia / FT CD Olimpia ✓23%4.31–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%11.80–

Recent results

CD Motagua – last 6

LWDWWW
10 Apr@ CD Marathon0–1L
6 Aprvs Génesis3–1W
23 Marvs Real Espana1–1D
19 Mar@ Platense FC1–0W
12 Marvs Lobos Upnfm2–0W
8 Mar@ Atlético Choloma3–1W
1.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

CD Olimpia – last 6

WDWDWD
9 Aprvs Victoria2–1W
3 Aprvs Lobos Upnfm0–0D
23 Mar@ Juticalpa6–1W
19 Marvs Olancho0–0D
13 Mar@ Platense FC2–1W
9 Marvs Real Espana1–1D
1.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

23 Feb 2026CD Olimpia v CD Motagua0–1
CD Motagua vs CD Olimpia head-to-head page →

Liga Nacional table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1CD Olimpia141031+2633
2Real Espana14851+1229
3CD Marathon14842+1128
4CD Motagua14914+1028
5Estrella Roja14545019
6Lobos Upnfm14545019
7Olancho14392+318
8Génesis14437+115
9Atlético Choloma14428-514
10Atletico Independiente14275-1013
11Platense FC142210-218
12Juticalpa142012-276

More Liga Nacional predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for CD Motagua vs CD Olimpia?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win CD Motagua vs CD Olimpia?

On our numbers CD Motagua have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 27% and CD Olimpia 40%.

How many goals will there be in CD Motagua vs CD Olimpia?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for CD Motagua vs CD Olimpia?

Our predicted score is CD Motagua 1–1 CD Olimpia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is CD Motagua vs CD Olimpia?

CD Motagua vs CD Olimpia (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Monday 13 April 2026 at 00:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Nacional Jose de la Paz Herrera Ucles.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.