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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Lobos Upnfm v Real Espana: numbers & prediction

Liga Nacional · Honduras · Estadio Emilio Williams Agasse
1–1
FT
Lobos Upnfm 32%Draw 26%Real Espana 42% Expected goals 1.24 – 1.35
73%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.37 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.28Odds

Picks by market

ResultReal Espana to win ✗42% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.78

Lobos Upnfm vs Real Espana: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Lobos Upnfm welcome Real Espana to Estadio Emilio Williams Agasse for a Liga Nacional fixture on Monday 13 April (02:30 WAT). In the table, Lobos Upnfm are 6th, upper half, on 19 points after 14 matches; Real Espana are 2nd (among the top four) with 29.

Current form

Lobos Upnfm, last 5: LDWLL Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Victoria, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Real Espana, last 5: LDWDW Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Atlético Choloma, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (21 Feb 2026) it ended Real Espana 4–3 Lobos Upnfm.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Lobos Upnfm 1.2 xG, Real Espana 1.4 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 59%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Lobos Upnfm 32%, draw 26%, Real Espana 42%.
  • GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.67.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lobos Upnfm 1–1 Real Espana. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Lobos Upnfm32%fair 3.09 · @3.00
Draw26%fair 3.85 · @3.30
Real Espana42%fair 2.40 · @2.15
2.59Expected goals
1.24Lobos Upnfm xG
1.35Real Espana xG
59%Both score
49%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
0–110%
1–09%
1–28%
2–18%
0–07%

From our goals model: Lobos Upnfm 1.2 – 1.4 Real Espana expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultReal Espana to win ✗42%2.402.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74%1.351.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓59%1.701.67
Draw no betReal Espana (draw no bet)56%1.78–
Asian handicapLobos Upnfm +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓61%1.65–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73%1.371.28
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓51%1.961.85
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓72%1.381.30
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓88%1.14–
First team to scoreReal Espana to score first ✗48%2.07–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗43%2.31–
Half-time / full-timeHT Real Espana / FT Real Espana ✗23%4.37–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%11.78–

Recent results

Lobos Upnfm – last 6

LDWLLW
6 Apr@ Victoria2–3L
3 Apr@ CD Olimpia0–0D
24 Marvs Olancho2–1W
21 Marvs Atlético Choloma1–2L
12 Mar@ CD Motagua0–2L
9 Marvs Juticalpa3–2W
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Real Espana – last 6

LDWDWL
10 Apr@ Atlético Choloma2–3L
7 Aprvs Juticalpa1–1D
3 Aprvs CD Marathon2–0W
23 Mar@ CD Motagua1–1D
19 Marvs Génesis2–1W
15 Mar@ Olancho0–3L
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

21 Feb 2026Real Espana v Lobos Upnfm4–3
Lobos Upnfm vs Real Espana head-to-head page →

Liga Nacional table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1CD Olimpia141031+2633
2Real Espana14851+1229
3CD Marathon14842+1128
4CD Motagua14914+1028
5Estrella Roja14545019
6Lobos Upnfm14545019
7Olancho14392+318
8Génesis14437+115
9Atlético Choloma14428-514
10Atletico Independiente14275-1013
11Platense FC142210-218
12Juticalpa142012-276

More Liga Nacional predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Lobos Upnfm vs Real Espana?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Lobos Upnfm vs Real Espana?

On our numbers Lobos Upnfm have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Real Espana 42%.

How many goals will there be in Lobos Upnfm vs Real Espana?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Lobos Upnfm vs Real Espana?

Our predicted score is Lobos Upnfm 1–1 Real Espana, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Lobos Upnfm vs Real Espana?

Lobos Upnfm vs Real Espana (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Monday 13 April 2026 at 02:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Emilio Williams Agasse.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.