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CD Motagua v Juticalpa: numbers & prediction

Liga Nacional · Honduras · Estadio Nacional Jose de la Paz Herrera Ucles
2–1
FT
CD Motagua 76%Draw 17%Juticalpa 7% Expected goals 2.58 – 0.63
65%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.38 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.38Odds

Picks by market

ResultCD Motagua to win ✓76% · @1.17
Double chanceCD Motagua or draw ✓93% · fair 1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @2.00
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓8% · fair 11.81

CD Motagua vs Juticalpa: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

CD Motagua welcome Juticalpa to Estadio Nacional Jose de la Paz Herrera Ucles for a Liga Nacional fixture on Monday 20 April (00:15 WAT). In the table, CD Motagua are 4th, among the top four, on 28 points after 14 matches; Juticalpa are 12th (in the drop zone) with 6. There are 22 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

CD Motagua, last 5: WLLWD Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Victoria, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Juticalpa, last 5: DLDWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Platense FC, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Momentum favours CD Motagua, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.8 for Juticalpa.

Head to head

When they last met (26 Feb 2026) it ended Juticalpa 1–2 CD Motagua.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give CD Motagua 2.6 xG, Juticalpa 0.6 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 65% and GG at 51%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – CD Motagua 76%, draw 17%, Juticalpa 7%.
  • GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.00.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (65%, odds 1.38). Most likely score in line with that pick: CD Motagua 3–0 Juticalpa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

CD Motagua76%fair 1.31 · @1.17
Draw17%fair 5.97 · @6.00
Juticalpa7%fair 14.23 · @14.00
3.21Expected goals
2.58CD Motagua xG
0.63Juticalpa xG
51%Both score
65%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–013%
3–012%
1–010%
2–18%
4–07%
3–17%

From our goals model: CD Motagua 2.6 – 0.6 Juticalpa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCD Motagua to win ✓76%1.311.17
Double chanceCD Motagua or draw ✓93%1.08–
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓51%1.982.00
Draw no betCD Motagua (draw no bet) ✓92%1.09–
Asian handicapCD Motagua -1 (Asian handicap)74%1.36–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83%1.20–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓65%1.541.38
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓56%1.781.77
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓74%1.341.30
First team to scoreCD Motagua to score first77%1.30–
Half-time resultCD Motagua ahead at half-time ✗58%1.72–
Half-time / full-timeHT CD Motagua / FT CD Motagua ✗55%1.81–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓8%11.81–

Recent results

CD Motagua – last 6

WLLWDW
17 Apr@ Victoria3–2W
13 Aprvs CD Olimpia0–1L
10 Apr@ CD Marathon0–1L
6 Aprvs Génesis3–1W
23 Marvs Real Espana1–1D
19 Mar@ Platense FC1–0W
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Juticalpa – last 6

DLDWLL
16 Aprvs Platense FC1–1D
9 Aprvs Olancho0–4L
7 Apr@ Real Espana1–1D
2 Apr@ Génesis1–0W
23 Marvs CD Olimpia1–6L
18 Marvs CD Marathon0–4L
0.7Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

26 Feb 2026Juticalpa v CD Motagua1–2
CD Motagua vs Juticalpa head-to-head page →

Liga Nacional table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1CD Olimpia141031+2633
2Real Espana14851+1229
3CD Marathon14842+1128
4CD Motagua14914+1028
5Estrella Roja14545019
6Lobos Upnfm14545019
7Olancho14392+318
8Génesis14437+115
9Atlético Choloma14428-514
10Atletico Independiente14275-1013
11Platense FC142210-218
12Juticalpa142012-276

More Liga Nacional predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for CD Motagua vs Juticalpa?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.

Who will win CD Motagua vs Juticalpa?

On our numbers CD Motagua have a 76% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Juticalpa 7%.

How many goals will there be in CD Motagua vs Juticalpa?

We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for CD Motagua vs Juticalpa?

Our predicted score is CD Motagua 3–0 Juticalpa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.

When is CD Motagua vs Juticalpa?

CD Motagua vs Juticalpa (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Monday 20 April 2026 at 00:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Nacional Jose de la Paz Herrera Ucles.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.