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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Olancho v Victoria: numbers & prediction

Liga Nacional · Honduras · Estadio Juan Ramon Breve Vargas

Olancho

WWLDW
1–0
FT
Olancho 67%Draw 19%Victoria 13% Expected goals 2.12 – 0.94
67%
Betarazi pick

Olancho to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.22Odds

Picks by market

ResultOlancho to win ✓67% · @1.22
Double chanceOlancho or draw ✓87% · @1.01
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.10

Olancho vs Victoria: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Victoria travel to face Olancho on Monday 20 April in the Liga Nacional, with Estadio Juan Ramon Breve Vargas the venue – the ball rolls at 02:30 WAT.

Current form

Olancho, last 5: WWLDW Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Juticalpa, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Victoria, last 5: LLLWL Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to CD Motagua, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 3.2 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Olancho, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.5 for Victoria.

Head to head

When they last met (25 Feb 2026) it ended Victoria 2–1 Olancho.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Olancho 2.1 xG, Victoria 0.9 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 62% for three or more goals, 56% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Olancho 67%, draw 19%, Victoria 13%.
  • GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.80.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Olancho to win (67%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Olancho 2–0 Victoria. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Olancho67%fair 1.48 · @1.22
Draw19%fair 5.20 · @5.25
Victoria13%fair 7.50 · @11.00
3.06Expected goals
2.12Olancho xG
0.94Victoria xG
56%Both score
62%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–011%
1–010%
2–110%
1–19%
3–07%
3–17%

From our goals model: Olancho 2.1 – 0.9 Victoria expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultOlancho to win ✓67%1.481.22
Double chanceOlancho or draw ✓87%1.151.01
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗56%1.781.80
Draw no betOlancho (draw no bet) ✓83%1.20–
Asian handicapOlancho -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓65%1.55–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗81%1.24–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗62%1.621.44
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓59%1.691.70
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓76%1.311.28
First team to scoreOlancho to score first ✓66%1.51–
Half-time resultOlancho ahead at half-time ✗47%2.12–
Half-time / full-timeHT Olancho / FT Olancho ✗42%2.39–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.10–

Recent results

Olancho – last 6

WWLDWD
9 Apr@ Juticalpa4–0W
5 Aprvs Atlético Choloma3–1W
24 Mar@ Lobos Upnfm1–2L
19 Mar@ CD Olimpia0–0D
15 Marvs Real Espana3–0W
11 Mar@ Génesis0–0D
1.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Victoria – last 6

LLLWLL
17 Aprvs CD Motagua2–3L
14 Aprvs Atlético Choloma2–5L
9 Apr@ CD Olimpia1–2L
6 Aprvs Lobos Upnfm3–2W
16 Marvs Platense FC2–3L
12 Mar@ Real Espana1–4L
1.8Scored / game
3.2Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

25 Feb 2026Victoria v Olancho2–1
Olancho vs Victoria head-to-head page →

Liga Nacional table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1CD Olimpia141031+2633
2Real Espana14851+1229
3CD Marathon14842+1128
4CD Motagua14914+1028
5Estrella Roja14545019
6Lobos Upnfm14545019
7Olancho14392+318
8Génesis14437+115
9Atlético Choloma14428-514
10Atletico Independiente14275-1013
11Platense FC142210-218
12Juticalpa142012-276

More Liga Nacional predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Olancho vs Victoria?

Our pick is Olancho to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Olancho vs Victoria?

On our numbers Olancho have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Victoria 13%.

How many goals will there be in Olancho vs Victoria?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Olancho vs Victoria?

Our predicted score is Olancho 2–0 Victoria, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is Olancho vs Victoria?

Olancho vs Victoria (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Monday 20 April 2026 at 02:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Juan Ramon Breve Vargas.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.