CD Motagua 66%Draw 21%Atlético Choloma 13%Expected goals 1.98 – 0.76
66%
Betarazi pick
CD Motagua to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.28
6/10Rating
1.28Odds
Picks by market
ResultCD Motagua to win66% · @1.28
Double chanceCD Motagua or draw87% · @1.06
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score53% · fair 1.89
GoalsOver 1.5 goals76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–08% · fair 12.03
CD Motagua vs Atlético Choloma: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
CD Motagua welcome Atlético Choloma to Estadio Nacional Jose de la Paz Herrera Ucles for a Liga Nacional fixture on Monday 27 April (00:15 WAT). In the table, CD Motagua are 4th, among the top four, on 28 points after 14 matches; Atlético Choloma are 9th (lower half) with 14. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
CD Motagua, last 5: DWWLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Olancho, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Atlético Choloma, last 5: LWWLW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to CD Olimpia, at home. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Head to head
When they last met (8 Mar 2026) it ended Atlético Choloma 1–3 CD Motagua.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give CD Motagua 2.0 xG, Atlético Choloma 0.8 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 57%, GG 47%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – CD Motagua 66%, draw 21%, Atlético Choloma 13%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was CD Motagua to win (66%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: CD Motagua 1–0 Atlético Choloma. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
CD Motagua66%fair 1.51 · @1.28
Draw21%fair 4.83 · @5.25
Atlético Choloma13%fair 7.51 · @7.00
2.74Expected goals
1.98CD Motagua xG
0.76Atlético Choloma xG
47%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
2–013%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–06%
From our goals model: CD Motagua 2.0 – 0.8 Atlético Choloma expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for CD Motagua vs Atlético Choloma?
Our pick is CD Motagua to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win CD Motagua vs Atlético Choloma?
On our numbers CD Motagua have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Atlético Choloma 13%.
How many goals will there be in CD Motagua vs Atlético Choloma?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for CD Motagua vs Atlético Choloma?
Our predicted score is CD Motagua 1–0 Atlético Choloma, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is CD Motagua vs Atlético Choloma?
CD Motagua vs Atlético Choloma (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Monday 27 April 2026 at 00:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Nacional Jose de la Paz Herrera Ucles.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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