Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Lobos Upnfm to win @ 2.45 – our chance 48% vs 41% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultLobos Upnfm to win ✗48% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.22
Juticalpa vs Lobos Upnfm: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Monday 27 April the Liga Nacional brings Juticalpa against Lobos Upnfm at Estadio Juan Ramon Breve Vargas. Kick-off: 02:30 WAT. In the table, Juticalpa are 12th, in the drop zone, on 6 points after 14 matches; Lobos Upnfm are 6th (upper half) with 19. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Juticalpa, last 5: LLDLD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Victoria, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Lobos Upnfm, last 5: LDLDW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Génesis, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (9 Mar 2026) it ended Lobos Upnfm 3–2 Juticalpa.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Juticalpa 1.1 xG, Lobos Upnfm 1.8 xG – a total near 2.9. That is an open game on paper: 56% for three or more goals, 61% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Juticalpa 29%, draw 23%, Lobos Upnfm 48%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.50.
Price worth noting: Lobos Upnfm to win @2.45 – the bookmaker implies 41%, our ratings say 48%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Juticalpa 1–1 Lobos Upnfm. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Juticalpa29%fair 3.40 · @2.45
Draw23%fair 4.34 · @3.50
Lobos Upnfm48%fair 2.10 · @2.45
2.91Expected goals
1.12Juticalpa xG
1.80Lobos Upnfm xG
61%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–210%
0–110%
0–29%
2–16%
1–06%
From our goals model: Juticalpa 1.1 – 1.8 Lobos Upnfm expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Juticalpa vs Lobos Upnfm?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Juticalpa vs Lobos Upnfm?
On our numbers Juticalpa have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Lobos Upnfm 48%.
How many goals will there be in Juticalpa vs Lobos Upnfm?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Juticalpa vs Lobos Upnfm?
Our predicted score is Juticalpa 1–1 Lobos Upnfm, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Juticalpa vs Lobos Upnfm?
Juticalpa vs Lobos Upnfm (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Monday 27 April 2026 at 02:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Juan Ramon Breve Vargas.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Victoria0