Lobos Upnfm vs CD Motagua: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Lobos Upnfm welcome CD Motagua to Estadio Emilio Williams Agasse for a Liga Nacional fixture on Friday 1 May (02:00 WAT). In the table, Lobos Upnfm are 6th, upper half, on 19 points after 14 matches; CD Motagua are 4th (among the top four) with 28.
Current form
Lobos Upnfm, last 5: LLDLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Juticalpa, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
CD Motagua, last 5: DWWLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Olancho, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours CD Motagua, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.8 for Lobos Upnfm.
Head to head
When they last met (12 Mar 2026) it ended CD Motagua 2–0 Lobos Upnfm.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Lobos Upnfm 1.0 xG, CD Motagua 1.5 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Lobos Upnfm 20%, draw 26%, CD Motagua 54%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.67.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (70%, odds 1.45). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lobos Upnfm 0–1 CD Motagua. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Lobos Upnfm20%fair 5.01 · @5.40
Draw26%fair 3.90 · @3.95
CD Motagua54%fair 1.84 · @1.50
2.51Expected goals
0.97Lobos Upnfm xG
1.54CD Motagua xG
56%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–113%
1–112%
0–210%
1–29%
0–08%
1–08%
From our goals model: Lobos Upnfm 1.0 – 1.5 CD Motagua expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Lobos Upnfm vs CD Motagua?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Lobos Upnfm vs CD Motagua?
On our numbers Lobos Upnfm have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 26% and CD Motagua 54%.
How many goals will there be in Lobos Upnfm vs CD Motagua?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lobos Upnfm vs CD Motagua?
Our predicted score is Lobos Upnfm 0–1 CD Motagua, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Lobos Upnfm vs CD Motagua?
Lobos Upnfm vs CD Motagua (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Friday 1 May 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Emilio Williams Agasse.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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