Tigre 44%Draw 28%America de Cali 29%Expected goals 1.07 – 1.05
63%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
2
Value bet: America de Cali to win @ 4.50 – our chance 29% vs 22% implied by the price (edge +29%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultTigre to win ✓44% · @1.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✓72% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.78
Tigre vs America de Cali: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Tigre welcome America de Cali to Estadio Jose Dellagiovanna for a CONMEBOL Sudamericana fixture on Friday 1 May (01:00 WAT). In the table, Tigre are 2nd on 9 points after 6 matches; America de Cali are 3rd with 9. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Tigre, last 5: LDLDL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Sarmiento Junin, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
America de Cali, last 5: LWWWD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Deportivo Cali, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours America de Cali, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.3 for Tigre.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Tigre 1.1 xG, America de Cali 1.0 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 63%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Tigre 44%, draw 28%, America de Cali 29%.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.67.
Price worth noting: America de Cali to win @4.50 – the bookmaker implies 22%, our ratings say 29%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (63%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tigre 1–1 America de Cali. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Tigre44%fair 2.30 · @1.90
Draw28%fair 3.58 · @3.10
America de Cali29%fair 3.50 · @4.50
2.12Expected goals
1.07Tigre xG
1.05America de Cali xG
49%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–013%
0–113%
0–012%
2–17%
1–27%
From our goals model: Tigre 1.1 – 1.0 America de Cali expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tigre to win✓
44%
2.30
1.90
Double chance
Either team to win✓
72%
1.39
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
51%
1.98
1.67
Draw no bet
Tigre (draw no bet)✓
60%
1.66
–
Asian handicap
America de Cali +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
1.50
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
1.18
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
1.05
First team to score
Tigre to score first✓
44%
2.25
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
48%
2.07
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
20%
4.90
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.78
–
Recent results
Tigre – last 6
LDLDLL
25 Apr
@ Sarmiento Junin
0–1
L
21 Apr
vs Huracan
1–1
D
16 Apr
vs Macara
0–1
L
8 Apr
@ Alianza Atletico
1–1
D
2 Apr
vs Independ. Rivadavia
0–2
L
21 Mar
@ Banfield
0–1
L
0.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
America de Cali – last 6
LWWWDW
26 Apr
@ Deportivo Cali
0–1
L
23 Apr
@ Fortaleza FC
2–1
W
20 Apr
vs Millonarios
3–1
W
16 Apr
vs Alianza Atletico
2–1
W
10 Apr
@ Macara
1–1
D
2 Apr
vs Bucaramanga
2–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tigre and America de Cali.
What is the prediction for Tigre vs America de Cali?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Tigre vs America de Cali?
On our numbers Tigre have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 28% and America de Cali 29%.
How many goals will there be in Tigre vs America de Cali?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tigre vs America de Cali?
Our predicted score is Tigre 1–1 America de Cali, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Tigre vs America de Cali?
Tigre vs America de Cali (CONMEBOL Sudamericana) kicks off on Friday 1 May 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Jose Dellagiovanna.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
