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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

A. Italiano v Barracas Central: numbers & prediction

CONMEBOL Sudamericana · South America · Estadio Bicentenario Municipal de La Florida
2–0
FT
A. Italiano 38%Draw 29%Barracas Central 33% Expected goals 1.05 – 1.01
81%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.22Odds

Picks by market

ResultA. Italiano to win ✓38% · @2.42
Double chanceEither team to win ✓71% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.48

A. Italiano vs Barracas Central: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

A. Italiano welcome Barracas Central to Estadio Bicentenario Municipal de La Florida for a CONMEBOL Sudamericana fixture on Tuesday 19 May (23:00 WAT). In the table, A. Italiano are 3rd on 7 points after 6 matches; Barracas Central are 4th with 3.

Current form

A. Italiano, last 5: LLDDL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Coquimbo Unido, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.

Barracas Central, last 5: LDDDD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Olimpia, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Head to head

When they last met (29 Apr 2026) it ended Barracas Central 1–1 A. Italiano.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give A. Italiano 1.1 xG, Barracas Central 1.0 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 62%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – A. Italiano 38%, draw 29%, Barracas Central 33%.
  • GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.83.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (81%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: A. Italiano 1–1 Barracas Central. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

A. Italiano38%fair 2.65 · @2.42
Draw29%fair 3.46 · @3.15
Barracas Central33%fair 3.00 · @2.96
2.07Expected goals
1.05A. Italiano xG
1.01Barracas Central xG
48%Both score
38%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–114%
1–013%
0–113%
0–013%
2–17%
2–07%

From our goals model: A. Italiano 1.1 – 1.0 Barracas Central expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultA. Italiano to win ✓38%2.652.42
Double chanceEither team to win ✓71%1.411.28
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓52%1.921.83
Draw no betA. Italiano (draw no bet) ✓53%1.88–
Asian handicapBarracas Central +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗64%1.56–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓64%1.571.42
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓62%1.611.62
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81%1.231.22
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓92%1.091.06
First team to scoreA. Italiano to score first ✓45%2.24–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗49%2.04–
Half-time / full-timeHT Draw / FT Draw ✗21%4.75–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13%7.48–

Recent results

A. Italiano – last 6

LLDDLW
16 May@ Coquimbo Unido0–3L
6 Mayvs Vasco DA Gama1–2L
29 Apr@ Barracas Central1–1D
25 Aprvs Deportes Limache2–2D
20 Apr@ Huachipato2–3L
15 Apr@ Vasco DA Gama2–1W
1.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Barracas Central – last 6

LDDDDW
7 Mayvs Olimpia1–2L
29 Aprvs A. Italiano1–1D
25 Apr@ Racing Club1–1D
20 Aprvs Belgrano Cordoba0–0D
16 Apr@ Olimpia0–0D
12 Apr@ Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto2–1W
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

29 Apr 2026Barracas Central v A. Italiano1–1
A. Italiano vs Barracas Central head-to-head page →

CONMEBOL Sudamericana table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Olimpia6411+413
2Vasco DA Gama6312+410
3A. Italiano6213-27
4Barracas Central6033-63

More CONMEBOL Sudamericana predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for A. Italiano vs Barracas Central?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win A. Italiano vs Barracas Central?

On our numbers A. Italiano have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Barracas Central 33%.

How many goals will there be in A. Italiano vs Barracas Central?

We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for A. Italiano vs Barracas Central?

Our predicted score is A. Italiano 1–1 Barracas Central, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.

When is A. Italiano vs Barracas Central?

A. Italiano vs Barracas Central (CONMEBOL Sudamericana) kicks off on Tuesday 19 May 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Bicentenario Municipal de La Florida.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.