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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Atletico Torque v Deportivo Riestra: numbers & prediction

CONMEBOL Sudamericana · South America · Estadio Centenario
Atletico Torque 54%Draw 24%Deportivo Riestra 22% Expected goals 1.56 – 0.68
78%
Betarazi pick

Atletico Torque or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.30Odds
1

Value bet: Atletico Torque to win @ 2.18 – our chance 54% vs 46% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultAtletico Torque to win ✓54% · @2.18
Double chanceAtletico Torque or draw ✓78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗81% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 6.05

Atletico Torque vs Deportivo Riestra: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Tuesday 19 May the CONMEBOL Sudamericana brings Atletico Torque against Deportivo Riestra at Estadio Centenario. Kick-off: 23:00 WAT. In the table, Atletico Torque are 1st on 13 points after 6 matches; Deportivo Riestra are 3rd with 5.

Current form

Atletico Torque, last 5: LWLWD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Club Nacional, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Deportivo Riestra, last 5: LWLLD Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Gremio, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

Momentum favours Atletico Torque, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.8 for Deportivo Riestra.

Head to head

When they last met (29 Apr 2026) it ended Deportivo Riestra 2–1 Atletico Torque.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Atletico Torque 1.6 xG, Deportivo Riestra 0.7 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 49%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Atletico Torque 54%, draw 24%, Deportivo Riestra 22%.
  • Lower-risk option: Atletico Torque or draw (78%) at 1.30.
  • GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.73.
  • Price worth noting: Atletico Torque to win @2.18 – the bookmaker implies 46%, our ratings say 54%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Atletico Torque or draw (78%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Atletico Torque 1–0 Deportivo Riestra. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Atletico Torque54%fair 1.85 · @2.18
Draw24%fair 4.13 · @3.10
Deportivo Riestra22%fair 4.61 · @3.45
2.25Expected goals
1.56Atletico Torque xG
0.68Deportivo Riestra xG
49%Both score
39%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–017%
2–013%
1–111%
0–011%
2–19%
0–17%

From our goals model: Atletico Torque 1.6 – 0.7 Deportivo Riestra expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAtletico Torque to win ✓54%1.852.18 ▲
Double chanceAtletico Torque or draw ✓78%1.281.30
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗51%1.961.73
Draw no betAtletico Torque (draw no bet) ✓71%1.40–
Asian handicapDeportivo Riestra +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✗69%1.46–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓65%1.541.48
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗61%1.641.55
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗81%1.241.18
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗91%1.101.05
First team to scoreAtletico Torque to score first ✓62%1.61–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗45%2.21–
Half-time / full-timeHT Atletico Torque / FT Atletico Torque ✓36%2.80–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17%6.05–

Recent results

Atletico Torque – last 6

LWLWDW
16 Mayvs Club Nacional1–2L
6 Mayvs Palestino1–0W
29 Apr@ Deportivo Riestra1–2L
24 Aprvs Boston River4–1W
19 Apr@ Cerro1–1D
15 Apr@ Palestino2–0W
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Deportivo Riestra – last 6

LWLLDD
5 Mayvs Gremio0–3L
29 Aprvs Atletico Torque2–1W
20 Apr@ Talleres Cordoba0–2L
14 Apr@ Gremio0–1L
8 Aprvs Palestino0–0D
25 Marvs San Lorenzo1–1D
0.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

29 Apr 2026Deportivo Riestra v Atletico Torque2–1
Atletico Torque vs Deportivo Riestra head-to-head page →

CONMEBOL Sudamericana table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Atletico Torque6411+613
2Gremio6321+511
3Deportivo Riestra6123-65
4Palestino6033-53

More CONMEBOL Sudamericana predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Atletico Torque vs Deportivo Riestra?

Our pick is Atletico Torque or draw with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Atletico Torque vs Deportivo Riestra?

On our numbers Atletico Torque have a 54% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Deportivo Riestra 22%.

How many goals will there be in Atletico Torque vs Deportivo Riestra?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Atletico Torque vs Deportivo Riestra?

Our predicted score is Atletico Torque 1–0 Deportivo Riestra, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is Atletico Torque vs Deportivo Riestra?

Atletico Torque vs Deportivo Riestra (CONMEBOL Sudamericana) kicks off on Tuesday 19 May 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Centenario.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.