Wednesday 11 November 2026 20 live now 66% correct · last 30 days JackpotsNewsTelegram18+
BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Atletico-MG v Cienciano: numbers & prediction

CONMEBOL Sudamericana · South America · Arena MRV

Atletico-MG

DWLWW
2–0
FT

Cienciano

LLWWL
Atletico-MG 67%Draw 21%Cienciano 12% Expected goals 1.88 – 0.81
67%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.53Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.30 – our chance 52% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultAtletico-MG to win ✓67% · @1.18
Double chanceAtletico-MG or draw ✓88% · @1.02
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @2.30
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.28

Atletico-MG vs Cienciano: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

23:00 WAT, Thursday 21 May: Atletico-MG v Cienciano in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, played at Arena MRV. In the table, Atletico-MG are 1st on 10 points after 6 matches; Cienciano are 2nd with 8. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Atletico-MG, last 5: DWLWW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Juventud, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Cienciano, last 5: LLWWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Alianza Lima, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Head to head

When they last met (30 Apr 2026) it ended Cienciano 1–0 Atletico-MG.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Atletico-MG 1.9 xG, Cienciano 0.8 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 52%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Atletico-MG 67%, draw 21%, Cienciano 12%.
  • GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.30.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.30 – the bookmaker implies 43%, our ratings say 52%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (67%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Atletico-MG 1–0 Cienciano. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Atletico-MG67%fair 1.49 · @1.18
Draw21%fair 4.77 · @5.90
Cienciano12%fair 8.54 · @17.50
2.69Expected goals
1.88Atletico-MG xG
0.81Cienciano xG
52%Both score
55%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–013%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
0–07%

From our goals model: Atletico-MG 1.9 – 0.8 Cienciano expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAtletico-MG to win ✓67%1.491.18
Double chanceAtletico-MG or draw ✓88%1.131.02
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗52%1.912.30 ▲
Draw no betAtletico-MG (draw no bet) ✓85%1.17–
Asian handicapAtletico-MG -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓63%1.60–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78%1.291.18
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗55%1.831.60
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓67%1.501.53
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓82%1.211.20
First team to scoreAtletico-MG to score first ✓65%1.54–
Half-time resultAtletico-MG ahead at half-time ✓45%2.24–
Half-time / full-timeHT Atletico-MG / FT Atletico-MG ✓40%2.53–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.28–

Recent results

Atletico-MG – last 6

DWLWWL
5 May@ Juventud2–2D
3 May@ Cruzeiro3–1W
30 Apr@ Cienciano0–1L
23 Aprvs Ceara2–1W
16 Aprvs Juventud2–1W
12 Apr@ Santos0–1L
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Cienciano – last 6

LLWWLW
16 Mayvs Alianza Lima0–1L
6 May@ Puerto Cabello0–3L
2 Mayvs Comerciantes Unidos1–0W
30 Aprvs Atletico-MG1–0W
23 Apr@ Club Deportivo Los Chankas0–1L
20 Aprvs UCV Moquegua2–1W
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

30 Apr 2026Cienciano v Atletico-MG1–0
Atletico-MG vs Cienciano head-to-head page →

CONMEBOL Sudamericana table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Atletico-MG6312+210
2Cienciano6222-28
3Juventud6141+37
4Puerto Cabello6213-37

More CONMEBOL Sudamericana predictions

League hub
FT Gremio2 Palestino0 160%1.39X24%4.65216%7.40 1.4–0.7xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 76%@1.35 ✓
FT River Plate1 RB Bragantino1 139%2.70X29%2.94232%2.80 1.3–1.1xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 79%@1.20 ✓
FT Puerto Cabello1 Juventud1 143%2.22X28%3.20229%3.25 1.4–1.1xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 75%@1.28 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Atletico-MG vs Cienciano?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.

Who will win Atletico-MG vs Cienciano?

On our numbers Atletico-MG have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Cienciano 12%.

How many goals will there be in Atletico-MG vs Cienciano?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Atletico-MG vs Cienciano?

Our predicted score is Atletico-MG 1–0 Cienciano, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Atletico-MG vs Cienciano?

Atletico-MG vs Cienciano (CONMEBOL Sudamericana) kicks off on Thursday 21 May 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Arena MRV.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.