Double chanceIndependiente Medellin or draw ✓86% · @1.06
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.91
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.08
Independiente Medellin vs Cusco: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
03:00 WAT, Friday 1 May: Independiente Medellin v Cusco in the CONMEBOL Libertadores, played at Estadio Atanasio Girardot. In the table, Independiente Medellin are 3rd on 7 points after 6 matches; Cusco are 4th with 1.
Current form
Independiente Medellin, last 5: WWLLD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Fortaleza FC, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Cusco, last 5: WLLLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over FC Cajamarca, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Independiente Medellin 1.9 xG, Cusco 0.9 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Independiente Medellin 64%, draw 22%, Cusco 14%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.91.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Independiente Medellin 2–0 Cusco. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Independiente Medellin64%fair 1.56 · @1.35
Draw22%fair 4.56 · @4.70
Cusco14%fair 7.26 · @8.70
2.85Expected goals
1.92Independiente Medellin xG
0.93Cusco xG
55%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–011%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%
From our goals model: Independiente Medellin 1.9 – 0.9 Cusco expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Independiente Medellin to win✓
64%
1.56
1.35
Double chance
Independiente Medellin or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.06
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.83
1.91
Draw no bet
Independiente Medellin (draw no bet)✓
82%
1.21
–
Asian handicap
Independiente Medellin -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
78%
1.29
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.81
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
1.45
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
1.18
First team to score
Independiente Medellin to score first✓
64%
1.57
–
Half-time result
Independiente Medellin ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Independiente Medellin / FT Independiente Medellin✗
38%
2.60
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.08
–
Recent results
Independiente Medellin – last 6
WWLLDD
26 Apr
vs Fortaleza FC
1–0
W
23 Apr
vs Chico
2–0
W
17 Apr
@ Flamengo
1–4
L
12 Apr
vs Atletico Nacional
2–3
L
9 Apr
vs Estudiantes L.P.
1–1
D
3 Apr
@ Once Caldas
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Cusco – last 6
WLLLLW
23 Apr
vs FC Cajamarca
1–0
W
19 Apr
@ Alianza Lima
0–8
L
14 Apr
@ Estudiantes L.P.
1–2
L
9 Apr
vs Flamengo
0–2
L
16 Mar
vs Cienciano
1–2
L
8 Mar
vs Deportivo Garcilaso
1–0
W
0.7Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Independiente Medellin and Cusco.
What is the prediction for Independiente Medellin vs Cusco?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Independiente Medellin vs Cusco?
On our numbers Independiente Medellin have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Cusco 14%.
How many goals will there be in Independiente Medellin vs Cusco?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Independiente Medellin vs Cusco?
Our predicted score is Independiente Medellin 2–0 Cusco, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Independiente Medellin vs Cusco?
Independiente Medellin vs Cusco (CONMEBOL Libertadores) kicks off on Friday 1 May 2026 at 03:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Atanasio Girardot.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Corinthians2
Penarol0