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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

U. Catolica v Barcelona SC: numbers & prediction

CONMEBOL Libertadores · South America · Claro Arena

U. Catolica

WDWLL
2–0
FT

Barcelona SC

WWLWD
U. Catolica 53%Draw 25%Barcelona SC 22% Expected goals 1.48 – 0.87
78%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.22Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 55% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultU. Catolica to win ✓53% · @1.80
Double chanceU. Catolica or draw ✓78% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.01

U. Catolica vs Barcelona SC: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

U. Catolica welcome Barcelona SC to Claro Arena for a CONMEBOL Libertadores fixture on Friday 22 May (01:30 WAT). In the table, U. Catolica are 1st on 13 points after 6 matches; Barcelona SC are 4th with 3.

Current form

U. Catolica, last 5: WDWLL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Deportes Limache, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Barcelona SC, last 5: WWLWD Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Aucas, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (30 Apr 2026) it ended Barcelona SC 1–2 U. Catolica.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give U. Catolica 1.5 xG, Barcelona SC 0.9 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 55%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – U. Catolica 53%, draw 25%, Barcelona SC 22%.
  • Lower-risk option: U. Catolica or draw (78%) at 1.20.
  • GG/NG: GG (55%) at 2.00.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 55%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (78%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: U. Catolica 1–0 Barcelona SC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

U. Catolica53%fair 1.88 · @1.80
Draw25%fair 4.04 · @3.40
Barcelona SC22%fair 4.53 · @4.50
2.35Expected goals
1.48U. Catolica xG
0.87Barcelona SC xG
55%Both score
42%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–014%
1–112%
2–010%
0–010%
2–19%
0–18%

From our goals model: U. Catolica 1.5 – 0.9 Barcelona SC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultU. Catolica to win ✓53%1.881.80
Double chanceU. Catolica or draw ✓78%1.281.20
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗55%1.802.00 ▲
Draw no betU. Catolica (draw no bet) ✓71%1.42–
Asian handicapBarcelona SC +1 (Asian handicap) ✗65%1.53–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓68%1.481.40
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓58%1.731.65
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78%1.281.22
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓90%1.111.06
First team to scoreU. Catolica to score first ✓57%1.76–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓45%2.22–
Half-time / full-timeHT U. Catolica / FT U. Catolica ✗31%3.26–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.01–

Recent results

U. Catolica – last 6

WDWLLW
17 May@ Deportes Limache2–0W
7 Mayvs Cruzeiro0–0D
30 Apr@ Barcelona SC2–1W
25 Apr@ Universidad de Chile0–1L
21 Aprvs Union La Calera1–2L
15 Apr@ Cruzeiro2–1W
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Barcelona SC – last 6

WWLWDL
17 Mayvs Aucas3–0W
12 May@ Insutec4–2W
10 May@ Independiente del Valle0–1L
6 Mayvs Boca Juniors1–0W
3 Mayvs Manta FC1–1D
30 Aprvs U. Catolica1–2L
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

30 Apr 2026Barcelona SC v U. Catolica1–2
U. Catolica vs Barcelona SC head-to-head page →

CONMEBOL Libertadores table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1U. Catolica6411+413
2Cruzeiro6321+511
3Boca Juniors6213+17
4Barcelona SC6105-103

More CONMEBOL Libertadores predictions

League hub
FT Penarol1 Corinthians1 142%2.32X29%2.96229%3.35 1.2–0.9xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 65%@1.44 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for U. Catolica vs Barcelona SC?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win U. Catolica vs Barcelona SC?

On our numbers U. Catolica have a 53% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Barcelona SC 22%.

How many goals will there be in U. Catolica vs Barcelona SC?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for U. Catolica vs Barcelona SC?

Our predicted score is U. Catolica 1–0 Barcelona SC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is U. Catolica vs Barcelona SC?

U. Catolica vs Barcelona SC (CONMEBOL Libertadores) kicks off on Friday 22 May 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Claro Arena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.