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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

A. Italiano v Universidad de Chile: numbers & prediction

· · Estadio Bicentenario de La Florida

A. Italiano

WWWLW
1–3
FT

Universidad de Chile

LDDLD
A. Italiano 26%Draw 26%Universidad de Chile 48% Expected goals 1.15 – 1.44
74%
Betarazi pick

Universidad de Chile or draw

Strong pick · fair odds 1.35 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.25Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.91 – our chance 58% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultUniversidad de Chile to win ✓48% · @1.95
Double chanceUniversidad de Chile or draw ✓74% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.19

A. Italiano vs Universidad de Chile: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

22:00 WAT, Tuesday 31 March: A. Italiano v Universidad de Chile in the , played at Estadio Bicentenario de La Florida.

Current form

A. Italiano, last 5: WWWLW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over D. La Serena, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Universidad de Chile, last 5: LDDLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Union La Calera, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.6 conceded per game.

Momentum favours A. Italiano, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.6 for Universidad de Chile.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give A. Italiano 1.1 xG, Universidad de Chile 1.4 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 58%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – A. Italiano 26%, draw 26%, Universidad de Chile 48%.
  • Lower-risk option: Universidad de Chile or draw (74%) at 1.25.
  • GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.91.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 58%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Universidad de Chile or draw (74%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: A. Italiano 1–1 Universidad de Chile. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

A. Italiano26%fair 3.87 · @3.70
Draw26%fair 3.83 · @3.10
Universidad de Chile48%fair 2.08 · @1.95
2.58Expected goals
1.15A. Italiano xG
1.44Universidad de Chile xG
58%Both score
45%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
0–111%
1–29%
1–09%
0–28%
0–08%

From our goals model: A. Italiano 1.1 – 1.4 Universidad de Chile expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

A. ItalianoUniversidad de Chile
Attack vs average+9%+9%
Goals conceded vs average+5%+5%
Our expected goals here1.401.40

Our own ratings from every result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultUniversidad de Chile to win ✓48%2.081.95
Double chanceUniversidad de Chile or draw ✓74%1.351.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓58%1.721.91 ▲
Draw no betUniversidad de Chile (draw no bet) ✓65%1.54–
Asian handicapA. Italiano +1 (Asian handicap) ✗73%1.37–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓70%1.441.40
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗55%1.821.62
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76%1.321.20
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓88%1.14–
First team to scoreUniversidad de Chile to score first ✓51%1.95–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗43%2.32–
Half-time / full-timeHT Universidad de Chile / FT Universidad de Chile ✓26%3.89–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.19–

Recent results

A. Italiano – last 6

WWWLWL
26 Marvs D. La Serena3–1W
21 Mar@ Union La Calera1–0W
14 Marvs Concepción3–0W
28 Feb@ Union La Calera0–3L
22 Febvs Everton de Vina1–0W
15 Feb@ Nublense0–1L
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Universidad de Chile – last 5

LDDLD
24 Marvs Union La Calera0–1L
20 Marvs D. La Serena2–2D
10 Marvs Universidad de Concepcion1–1D
5 Marvs Palestino1–2L
23 Febvs Deportes Limache2–2D
1.2Scored / game
1.6Conceded / game
80%Both scored
60%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between A. Italiano and Universidad de Chile.

A. Italiano vs Universidad de Chile head-to-head page →

More predictions

FT Palestino1 O'Higgins3 138%2.05X25%3.40238%3.10 1.3–1.4xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 75%@1.22 ✓
FT Universidad de Concepcion0 Nublense2 134%2.60X26%3.10240%2.60 1.1–1.3xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 76%@1.22 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for A. Italiano vs Universidad de Chile?

Our pick is Universidad de Chile or draw with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win A. Italiano vs Universidad de Chile?

On our numbers A. Italiano have a 26% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Universidad de Chile 48%.

How many goals will there be in A. Italiano vs Universidad de Chile?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for A. Italiano vs Universidad de Chile?

Our predicted score is A. Italiano 1–1 Universidad de Chile, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is A. Italiano vs Universidad de Chile?

A. Italiano vs Universidad de Chile () kicks off on Tuesday 31 March 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Bicentenario de La Florida.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.